Náutico vs Fortaleza: match statistics
Náutico vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Náutico play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 10 June 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Náutico 33%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: Náutico 39%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.52. Náutico: 16.6 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Náutico holds a clear home advantage: averaging 63% possession, 15.8 shots and 3.4 on target per match, and 1.2 goals scored with an xG of 1.73. Fortaleza are ineffective away — only 0.33 goals per match, 12.67 shots (3.17 on target) and a conversion rate of just 3%, failing to score in 67% of their away fixtures. Defensively the hosts are superior as well: Náutico concedes 0.8 goals at home on average and keeps clean sheets in 60% of matches, while Fortaleza concede 1.17 goals away and have an average xG against of 1.59. Recent form confirms the gap — in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 12 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, whereas the visitors scored 7 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game. Considering the better xG (1.73 vs 1.29), higher possession (63% vs 48%) and substantially higher shot efficiency (8% vs 3%), I predict a Náutico victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Náutico | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Náutico · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Náutico is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Náutico · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
Fortaleza is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Náutico · 1 goals / match - Fortaleza
Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Náutico
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Náutico · 1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Náutico
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Náutico | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Náutico vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished Náutico 0:1 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Fortaleza?
Náutico score 1.22 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Náutico's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Náutico and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Fortaleza?
The statistical background for Náutico vs Fortaleza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.