Náutico vs Novorizontino: match statistics
Náutico vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Náutico played Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Náutico: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Novorizontino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Náutico scores 1.26 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.68 and concedes 0.87. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Náutico 48%, Novorizontino 52%. Over 2.5: Náutico 42%, Novorizontino 58%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.76. Náutico: 16.5 shots per match, Novorizontino: 16.2.
Match halves
Náutico: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.87. Novorizontino: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Náutico: 76-90+ (14 goals). Novorizontino: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novorizontino sit 3rd in the table, while Náutico are 13th, and over the season they have scored more goals (52 to 39) and conceded fewer (27 to 38). The visitors have also been more consistent over their last five matches: they scored 8 goals and conceded 4, compared with the hosts, who scored 8 but conceded as many as 10. Away from home, Novorizontino average 1.73 goals with a 13% shot conversion rate, compared with Náutico's 1.27 goals and 7% conversion rate at home. However, the hosts can point to a higher xG in home matches (2.08 versus the visitors' 1.46 away from home) and a 53% home win rate, so this is not a clear-cut favourite. Better finishing and stronger recent defensive results ultimately point to a narrow Novorizontino win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 56% of Náutico’s matches and 47% of Novorizontino’s, but over their last five matches those rates rose to 80% and 60%, respectively. Both teams have recently averaged 1.6 goals scored per match, while Náutico have conceded 2.0 goals per game, increasing the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts create chances worth an average of 2.04 xG, so despite Novorizontino keeping a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, they also have a strong case to score. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is that the visitors failed to score in 33% of their matches; however, their average of 1.73 goals scored and recent 2.23 xG suggest both teams will get on the scoresheet this time.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 75% of Náutico’s home matches and 67% of Novorizontino’s away matches, supporting the Over 1.5 goals pick. The hosts average 2.04 xG and 6.25 shots on target per match, so they should create chances consistently despite the visitors conceding just 0.87 goals on average. Novorizontino, meanwhile, average 1.73 goals away from home, while Náutico have conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last five matches, increasing the likelihood of an away goal. A projected total of 2.64 goals points to at least two goals, but Novorizontino’s solid defending and the fact that only 19% of Náutico’s home matches featured at least four goals limit confidence in picks on higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Náutico were level at the break in 63% of their matches, compared with 53% for Novorizontino. The teams’ first halves are similarly balanced: the hosts average 0.69 goals scored and 0.38 conceded, while the visitors average 0.67 and 0.40, respectively. Over the full match, the edge shifts to Náutico: their average xG is 2.04 against their opponents’ 1.46, and their win rate is 56% compared with 40%. A home win after the break is also supported by Náutico averaging 0.94 goals in second halves, with at least one goal scored in 13 of the 16 second halves involving them. However, X/1 is not a clear favourite, as Náutico conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last five matches, while Novorizontino conceded just 0.8.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Náutico | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novorizontino is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Náutico · 1.6 pts / match - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Náutico · 1.68 goals / match - Novorizontino
Novorizontino is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Náutico · 0.87 goals / match - Novorizontino
Náutico scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Náutico
Over / Under - Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Náutico · 1.55 pts / match - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Náutico
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Náutico | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Náutico 0 - 1 - 0 Novorizontino. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Náutico vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished Náutico 0:2 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Novorizontino?
Náutico score 1.26 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.68. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Náutico's matches and 52% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Náutico and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novorizontino 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Novorizontino?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Náutico vs Novorizontino: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.