Brazil - Serie BData current as of 22 September 2026

Náutico vs Sport Recife: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Náutico vs Sport Recife: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Náutico play Sport Recife in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Náutico: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sport Recife: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Náutico scores 1.25 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Sport Recife scores 1.34 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Náutico 46%, Sport Recife 62%. Over 2.5: Náutico 39%, Sport Recife 48%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.42. Náutico: 17.0 shots per match, Sport Recife: 13.9.

Match halves

Náutico: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89. Sport Recife: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Náutico: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sport Recife: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NáuticoSport Recife
1.25Goals scored / match1.34
NáuticoSport Recife
1.18Goals conceded / match1
NáuticoSport Recife
58%Average possession55%
NáuticoSport Recife
4.75Shots on target / match4.17
NáuticoSport Recife

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.96Shots per match13.93
NáuticoSport Recife
4.75Shots on target4.17
NáuticoSport Recife
7.4%Shot conversion9.7%
NáuticoSport Recife
58%Possession55%
NáuticoSport Recife
1.84xG for1.42
NáuticoSport Recife
1.35xG against1.5
NáuticoSport Recife

Shooting quality

Náutico: DominantSport Recife: Balanced
NáuticoSport Recife
Accuracy (shots on target)28%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Náutico is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Náutico · 1.2 pts / match - Sport Recife

Náutico
DWWLD
Season result split
36% W29% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-10
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Sport Recife
LLWLW
Season result split
38% W38% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-11-7
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sport Recife is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Náutico · 1.34 goals / match - Sport Recife

Sport Recife is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Náutico · 1 goals / match - Sport Recife

Náutico scoring profile: strong

Náutico scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).

Sport Recife scoring profile: very strong

Sport Recife scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).

35Goals scored (season)39
NáuticoSport Recife
33Goals conceded (season)29
NáuticoSport Recife
2.43Average goals in match2.34
NáuticoSport Recife
8Goals scored (last 5)7
NáuticoSport Recife
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
NáuticoSport Recife

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal86%
NáuticoSport Recife
29%2 goals38%
NáuticoSport Recife
14%3 goals10%
NáuticoSport Recife
7%4 goals0%
NáuticoSport Recife

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal66%
NáuticoSport Recife
32%2 goals31%
NáuticoSport Recife
11%3 goals3%
NáuticoSport Recife
4%4 goals0%
NáuticoSport Recife

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time17%
NáuticoSport Recife
7%BTTS in both halves7%
NáuticoSport Recife
21%Scored in both halves21%
NáuticoSport Recife

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
NáuticoSport Recife
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
NáuticoSport Recife
80%BTTS - last 580%
NáuticoSport Recife

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
NáuticoSport Recife
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
NáuticoSport Recife
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
NáuticoSport Recife

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
NáuticoSport Recife
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
NáuticoSport Recife
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
NáuticoSport Recife

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sport Recife is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Náutico · 1.31 pts / match - Sport Recife

Náutico - half-time state
21% leading36% draw43% trailing
Sport Recife - half-time state
28% leading48% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.31
NáuticoSport Recife
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.52
NáuticoSport Recife
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
NáuticoSport Recife
1Average goals (1st half)0.97
NáuticoSport Recife
50%Clean sheet before half-time59%
NáuticoSport Recife
71%No goal before half-time62%
NáuticoSport Recife

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1.48
NáuticoSport Recife
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
NáuticoSport Recife
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
NáuticoSport Recife
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.38
NáuticoSport Recife
61%Clean sheet after half-time52%
NáuticoSport Recife
39%No goal after half-time31%
NáuticoSport Recife

Náutico - second-half results

43% W36% D21% L
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sport Recife - second-half results

31% W55% D14% L
38
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.20
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sport Recife - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
2
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
3
3
46-60
8
3
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Sport Recife
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
8
16-30
7
4
31-45
7
2
46-60
5
4
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Sport Recife

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

NáuticoLigaSport Recife
Average goals in match 2.432.34 2.34
Both teams scored 46%49% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%43% 48%
Clean sheets 29%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 68%67% 62%
Goal after half-time 79%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Náutico 0 - 0 - 1 Sport Recife. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Náutico and Sport Recife play?

Náutico face Sport Recife on 26 September 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Sport Recife?

Náutico score 1.25 goals per game on average and Sport Recife 1.34. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Náutico's matches and 62% of Sport Recife's.

What form are Náutico and Sport Recife in?

Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sport Recife 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Sport Recife?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.