Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: match statistics
Mes Shahr-e Babak is second in the table and is in significantly better form than Navad Urmia, who are in 15th place. The visitors have won 11 matches this season with only 2 defeats, while the hosts have recorded just 3 wins and as many as 7 losses. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the away side – 3 wins and 2 draws (PPG 2.2) compared to 0 wins and 3 defeats for the hosts (PPG 0.4). Mes Shahr-e Babak also boasts a superior goal difference and defensive efficiency, evidenced by a 60% clean sheet rate in away matches. Considering the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, along with the hosts' tendency for draws at home (78%), an away win or a draw is most likely, with a slight edge for a Mes Shahr-e Babak victory.
Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navad Urmia played Mes Shahr-e Babak in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Navad Urmia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Mes Shahr-e Babak: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navad Urmia scores 0.70 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Mes Shahr-e Babak scores 1.05 and concedes 0.52. League average: 1.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navad Urmia 45%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 38%. Over 2.5: Navad Urmia 20%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 19%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Mes Shahr-e Babak has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.05. Navad Urmia: 1.9 shots per match, Mes Shahr-e Babak: 4.9.
Match halves
Navad Urmia: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.40. Mes Shahr-e Babak: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (4 goals). Mes Shahr-e Babak: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.54 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mes Shahr-e Babak is second in the table and is in significantly better form than Navad Urmia, who are in 15th place. The visitors have won 11 matches this season with only 2 defeats, while the hosts have recorded just 3 wins and as many as 7 losses. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the away side – 3 wins and 2 draws (PPG 2.2) compared to 0 wins and 3 defeats for the hosts (PPG 0.4). Mes Shahr-e Babak also boasts a superior goal difference and defensive efficiency, evidenced by a 60% clean sheet rate in away matches. Considering the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, along with the hosts' tendency for draws at home (78%), an away win or a draw is most likely, with a slight edge for a Mes Shahr-e Babak victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navad Urmia | Mes Shahr-e Babak | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 11% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.57 | 0.23 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.50 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Navad Urmia · 2.2 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 1.05 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Navad Urmia · 0.52 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Navad Urmia scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Mes Shahr-e Babak keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Mes Shahr-e Babak scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Navad Urmia
Over / Under - Mes Shahr-e Babak
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Navad Urmia · 2 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mes Shahr-e Babak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navad Urmia
Mes Shahr-e Babak
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Navad Urmia | Liga | Mes Shahr-e Babak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.60 | 1.54 | • 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 55% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Navad Urmia 0 - 1 - 0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
The Azadegan League match finished Navad Urmia 0:1 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Navad Urmia score 0.70 goals per game on average and Mes Shahr-e Babak 1.05. The Azadegan League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Navad Urmia's matches and 38% of Mes Shahr-e Babak's.
What form are Navad Urmia and Mes Shahr-e Babak in?
Over the last 5 games Navad Urmia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mes Shahr-e Babak 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.