Navbahor vs AGMK: match statistics
Navbahor vs AGMK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor play AGMK in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Markaziy Stadion. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Navbahor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AGMK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.33 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. AGMK scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 50%, AGMK 69%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 42%, AGMK 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.48. Navbahor: 13.5 shots per match, AGMK: 12.2.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42. AGMK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (5 goals). AGMK: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the home win (Navbahor). At home they clearly create more chances: on average 14 shots per game, 4.25 on target, and xG 1.55, while AGMK away records 9.6 shots, 2.6 on target and xG 1.20. Navbahor’s defense looks more solid — they concede 0.75 goals at home with xG against 0.72, whereas AGMK concede 1.4 goals away with xG against 1.52, indicating greater vulnerability at the back for the visitors. Overall form slightly favors AGMK (last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, 2.2 points per game), but Navbahor have scored 15 goals in their last 5 compared to 10 for AGMK, showing higher short-term attacking efficiency. Additionally, the hosts sit 3rd in the table versus AGMK’s 8th, have higher possession (64% vs 50%) and a better home win rate (50% vs 40% away), which gives them control of the match. Considering superior xG (1.55 vs 1.20), more shots and a lower average of goals conceded (0.75 vs 1.4), I assess the probabilities as: home 60%, draw 20%, away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGMK is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Navbahor · 2.2 pts / match - AGMK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGMK is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Navbahor · 1.62 goals / match - AGMK
Navbahor is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Navbahor · 1.31 goals / match - AGMK
Navbahor scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
AGMK scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Navbahor
Over / Under — AGMK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.15 pts / match - AGMK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
AGMK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Navbahor 1 - 0 - 1 AGMK. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs AGMK?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 2:3 AGMK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and AGMK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, AGMK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs AGMK?
Navbahor score 1.33 goals per game on average and AGMK 1.62. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Navbahor's matches and 69% of AGMK's.
What form are Navbahor and AGMK in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AGMK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs AGMK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.