Navbahor vs Mash'al: match statistics
Navbahor vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor played Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Navbahor: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Mash'al: 0-0-4, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.00 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 50%, Mash'al 0%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 50%, Mash'al 25%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.13. Navbahor: 13.0 shots per match, Mash'al: 8.8.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (2 goals). Mash'al: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Navbahor holds a clear advantage in chance creation: average home xG is 1.53 versus Mash'al's 0.94 xG on the road, and the hosts average 15 shots (4 on target) compared to the visitors' 8 shots (2.5 on target). In the last 5 matches Navbahor scored 6 goals, while Mash'al have not scored a single goal this season and in their last 5 matches (0 goals), which strongly supports the hosts' attacking efficiency. Defensively Navbahor are superior as well: they concede 1.0 goal at home on average with xG against of 0.76, whereas Mash'al concede 2.5 goals away with xG against of 2.17. Form trend further favours the hosts — Navbahor have 1.4 points per match in the last 5 (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Mash'al have 0 points and 5 straight defeats; therefore I predict a Navbahor win (70%), draw 20% and Mash'al win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong argument against BTTS is that Mash'al has not scored any goals this season (0 goals) nor in the last 5 matches (0 goals), with a season goals-per-game average of 0.0. Despite an xG of 1.13 in the last 5 matches and a season xG of 0.94, Mash'al fails to convert chances, evidenced by a 0% BTTS rate in their last 5 games. Navbahor has scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches and has a recent xG of 1.61, and the hosts average 9.5 shots versus the visitors' 8.0, so the hosts are likely to score at least once. Additionally, the league shows only 41% BTTS and a high clean sheet rate of 66%, which, combined with Mash'al’s lack of goals (0 this season and in L5), strongly supports the scenario that both teams will not score. Based on this, I assess 80% for 'No' and 20% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a season over 1.5 rate of 100%, meaning 100% of their matches have produced at least 2 goals. Combined season xG is 1.32 (Navbahor) + 0.94 (Mash'al) = 2.26, while the more recent picture from the last 5 matches is 1.61 + 1.13 = 2.74 xG, suggesting a realistic goals range around 2.3–2.7. Navbahor scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches (1.2 avg) and averages 9.5 shots with 2.5 on target, whereas Mash'al has no goals this season nor in the last 5 (0 scored) and conceded 11 goals in those 5 matches. Considering these figures and seasonal over 2.5 data (Navbahor 0% vs Mash'al 50%; in last 5: 40% vs 20%), I estimate Over 1.5 at ~95%, Over 2.5 at ~30% and Over 3.5 at ~5%. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5; expected goals projection is Navbahor 1.55, Mash'al 0.75, total 2.30.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at half-time, Navbahor win), because the home side have higher xG of 1.32 versus 0.94 and average 9.5 shots per match compared to Mash'al's 8.0. In the last five fixtures Navbahor have won 40% of matches while Mash'al have won 0%. I expect a draw at the break: the hosts were level at half-time in 60% of their last five games, whereas Mash'al led at half-time in 0% and were behind at half-time in 100% of those matches. After 90 minutes the favourite remains Navbahor, since Mash'al have averaged no goals in their last five matches (0.0) and conceded 2.2 goals per match, with an xG against of 2.17, which increases the hosts' chances of victory. Additionally the home side have a lower xG against (1.55) and a better shots profile, so turnaround scenarios in favour of the visitors (1/2, X/2, 2/2) are assessed as unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Navbahor · 2.25 goals / match - Mash'al
Navbahor scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Mash'al scores in 0% of matches (0 of 4 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Navbahor
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Navbahor 1 - 1 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Mash'al won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Mash'al?
Navbahor score 1.25 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.00. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Navbahor's matches and 0% of Mash'al's.
What form are Navbahor and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Mash'al 0-0-4 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Mash'al?
The statistical background for Navbahor vs Mash'al — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.