Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueMarkaziy StadionData current as of 15 October 2026

Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Navbahor play Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Markaziy Stadion.

Current form

Navbahor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Pakhtakor: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Navbahor scores 1.78 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Pakhtakor scores 1.83 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Navbahor 61%, Pakhtakor 65%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 43%, Pakhtakor 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Navbahor has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.52. Navbahor: 14.6 shots per match, Pakhtakor: 12.7.

Match halves

Navbahor: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.61. Pakhtakor: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Navbahor: 0-15 (10 goals). Pakhtakor: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.78Goals scored / match1.83
NavbahorPakhtakor
1Goals conceded / match0.91
NavbahorPakhtakor
55%Average possession55%
NavbahorPakhtakor
5.74Shots on target / match4.7
NavbahorPakhtakor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.61Shots per match12.7
NavbahorPakhtakor
5.74Shots on target4.7
NavbahorPakhtakor
12.2%Shot conversion14.4%
NavbahorPakhtakor
55%Possession55%
NavbahorPakhtakor
1.73xG for1.52
NavbahorPakhtakor
0.99xG against1.22
NavbahorPakhtakor

Shooting quality

Navbahor: DominantPakhtakor: Efficient finishing
NavbahorPakhtakor
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Pakhtakor is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Navbahor · 2.6 pts / match - Pakhtakor

Navbahor
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W26% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-4
1.96 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.07Opponent xG: 0.69BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Pakhtakor
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
65% W30% D4% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-7-1
2.26 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pakhtakor is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Navbahor · 0.91 goals / match - Pakhtakor

Navbahor scoring profile: very strong

Navbahor scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).

Pakhtakor scoring profile: very strong

Pakhtakor scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

41Goals scored (season)42
NavbahorPakhtakor
23Goals conceded (season)21
NavbahorPakhtakor
2.78Average goals in match2.74
NavbahorPakhtakor
12Goals scored (last 5)12
NavbahorPakhtakor
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
NavbahorPakhtakor

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal87%
NavbahorPakhtakor
52%2 goals61%
NavbahorPakhtakor
17%3 goals26%
NavbahorPakhtakor
13%4 goals9%
NavbahorPakhtakor

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal70%
NavbahorPakhtakor
26%2 goals22%
NavbahorPakhtakor
9%3 goals0%
NavbahorPakhtakor
0%4 goals0%
NavbahorPakhtakor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time13%
NavbahorPakhtakor
9%BTTS in both halves4%
NavbahorPakhtakor
26%Scored in both halves39%
NavbahorPakhtakor

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
NavbahorPakhtakor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
NavbahorPakhtakor
80%BTTS - last 580%
NavbahorPakhtakor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
NavbahorPakhtakor
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
NavbahorPakhtakor
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
NavbahorPakhtakor

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
NavbahorPakhtakor
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
NavbahorPakhtakor
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
NavbahorPakhtakor

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Navbahor is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.13 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.91 pts / match - Pakhtakor

Navbahor - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Pakhtakor - half-time state
48% leading48% draw4% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.13Points per match (1st half)1.91
NavbahorPakhtakor
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.87
NavbahorPakhtakor
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.22
NavbahorPakhtakor
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.09
NavbahorPakhtakor
57%Clean sheet before half-time83%
NavbahorPakhtakor
22%No goal before half-time39%
NavbahorPakhtakor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.65
NavbahorPakhtakor
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
NavbahorPakhtakor
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
NavbahorPakhtakor
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.65
NavbahorPakhtakor
57%Clean sheet after half-time43%
NavbahorPakhtakor
61%No goal after half-time35%
NavbahorPakhtakor

Navbahor - second-half results

26% W43% D30% L
49
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Pakhtakor - second-half results

43% W35% D22% L
44
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+15
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Navbahor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
Pakhtakor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Navbahor
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
10
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Pakhtakor
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
9
2
16-30
6
1
31-45
8
4
46-60
9
5
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Navbahor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Pakhtakor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

NavbahorLigaPakhtakor
Average goals in match• 2.782.71• 2.74
Both teams scored▲ 61%55%▲ 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%55%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 35%26%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%68%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%77%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Navbahor 1 - 1 - 1 Pakhtakor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Navbahor and Pakhtakor play?

Navbahor face Pakhtakor on 17 October 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Markaziy Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Pakhtakor?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Pakhtakor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?

Navbahor score 1.78 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 1.83. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Navbahor's matches and 65% of Pakhtakor's.

What form are Navbahor and Pakhtakor in?

Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pakhtakor 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.