Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor play Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Markaziy Stadion.
Current form
Navbahor: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Pakhtakor: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.78 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Pakhtakor scores 1.83 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 61%, Pakhtakor 65%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 43%, Pakhtakor 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.52. Navbahor: 14.6 shots per match, Pakhtakor: 12.7.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.61. Pakhtakor: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (10 goals). Pakhtakor: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pakhtakor is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Navbahor · 2.6 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Navbahor · 0.91 goals / match - Pakhtakor
Navbahor scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Pakhtakor scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Navbahor
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.91 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
Pakhtakor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.78 | 2.71 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Navbahor 1 - 1 - 1 Pakhtakor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Navbahor and Pakhtakor play?
Navbahor face Pakhtakor on 17 October 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Markaziy Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Pakhtakor?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Pakhtakor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
Navbahor score 1.78 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 1.83. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Navbahor's matches and 65% of Pakhtakor's.
What form are Navbahor and Pakhtakor in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pakhtakor 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Pakhtakor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


