Navbahor vs Sogdiana: match statistics
Navbahor vs Sogdiana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Navbahor played Sogdiana in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Navbahor: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sogdiana: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Navbahor scores 1.50 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Sogdiana scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Navbahor 38%, Sogdiana 75%. Over 2.5: Navbahor 38%, Sogdiana 88%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.42. Navbahor: 13.5 shots per match, Sogdiana: 11.6.
Match halves
Navbahor: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Sogdiana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Navbahor: 0-15 (3 goals). Sogdiana: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Navbahor has a clear advantage at home: they sit 3rd in the home table, have won 6 of 8 home matches (67% wins) and concede only 0.67 goals per game on average. Sogdiana are 15th; away they concede 2.25 goals on average and have no clean sheets (0% clean sheets), with a 50% away loss rate. Offensively the visitors score 1.5 goals away and record a higher shooting accuracy of 15%, but Navbahor creates more chances (avg. 15.33 shots and 4.67 on target at home) and has a superior xG 1.65 versus Sogdiana’s 1.22. The favorite’s form is better: Navbahor have 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 2.4 points per game in that period, while Sogdiana average 0.8 points per game and have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 outings. Considering the defensive edge (0.67 vs 2.25 goals conceded), higher xG and greater chance creation, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 75% (Navbahor 75% and Sogdiana 75%), which provides a strong season-long signal for both teams scoring. The last 5 matches show divergence: Navbahor has BTTS 40% with an 8:3 goals balance (avg 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded), while Sogdiana has BTTS 100% and a 10:12 balance (avg 2.0 scored, 2.4 conceded), so Sogdiana regularly both scores and concedes. xG and shot data confirm Navbahor creates chances (avg 1.63 xG, 13.25 shots and 5.75 on target), and Sogdiana despite a lower xG_for 1.22 has a higher conversion rate 15% (vs 11% Navbahor) and still converts chances; at the same time Sogdiana allows 1.49 xG and 3.75 shots on target against. Season-long absence of clean sheets (0% clean sheets for both) and high over2.5 (Navbahor 75%, Sogdiana 100%) further increase the likelihood of goals from both sides, therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with probability 76% vs 24%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have season goal averages of 1.5 (Navbahor) and 1.5 (Sogdiana), while conceding 2.75 (Navbahor) and 2.25 (Sogdiana) on average, which favors higher-scoring games. xG shows 1.63 for Navbahor and 1.22 for Sogdiana, with xG against 1.57 (Navbahor) and 1.49 (Sogdiana), yielding a forecast ≈1.56 goals for the home side and ≈1.40 for the away side (total ≈2.96). Season rates for Over 1.5 are 100% for both teams, Over 2.5 is 75% (Navbahor) and 100% (Sogdiana), and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 75% for each side; additionally Sogdiana have had 22 total goals in their last 5 matches (10 scored and 12 conceded, averaging 4.4 per game). A Poisson model with λ≈2.96 gives P(>1.5)≈80%, P(>2.5)≈57% and P(≥4)≈34%, but considering season rates (100% Over1.5, 75%/100% Over2.5) I upweight the estimate to ~95% for Over 1.5 and ~75% for Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 is estimated around 40%. Consequently the strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: over) due to the 100% season rate of Over1.5 and the projected ≈2.96 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the 1/1 scenario (home team leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time) because Navbahor have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and led at the break in 60% of games, averaging 1.2 goals scored by Half-Time and only 0.2 conceded. Sogdiana have only a 20% win rate in those five matches and, although they average 1.4 goals by Half-Time, they concede an average of 2.0 goals in second halves, which reduces the visitors’ chance of a turnaround. Additionally, Navbahor generate higher offensive quality: xG 1.63 versus 1.22 for Sogdiana and 5.75 shots on target versus 3.75, and the hosts have scored 3 goals in the 0–15 minute window compared to 0 for their opponents — this increases the probability of a lead at the break. While both teams have a high seasonal rate of BTTS (75%), recent figures show the hosts better retain their advantage (on average 0.6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches versus 2.4 for Sogdiana), so converting an HT lead into an FT win appears most likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Navbahor | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Navbahor is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Navbahor · 0.8 pts / match - Sogdiana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 297% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Navbahor · 2.5 goals / match - Sogdiana
Navbahor scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Sogdiana keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Sogdiana scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Navbahor
Over / Under - Sogdiana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Navbahor · 1.75 pts / match - Sogdiana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sogdiana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Navbahor
Sogdiana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Navbahor | Liga | Sogdiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.48 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 48% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Navbahor 1 - 1 - 0 Sogdiana. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Navbahor 1:1 Sogdiana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Navbahor and Sogdiana?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Navbahor won 1, Sogdiana won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Navbahor score 1.50 goals per game on average and Sogdiana 1.50. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Navbahor's matches and 75% of Sogdiana's.
What form are Navbahor and Sogdiana in?
Over the last 5 games Navbahor have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sogdiana 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Navbahor vs Sogdiana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.