Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United: match statistics
Naxxar Lions presents solid home form with 33% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match in home games, with 15% efficiency and a decent xG of 1.31. Gzira United, on the other hand, has poor results on the road – only 18% wins, a negative goal difference (-9), and high goal concession (averaging 1.91 per match). The visitors fail to score in as many as 45% of away matches, which, given their low xG (0.97), suggests offensive problems. The form of both teams in the last five matches is comparable (PPG 1.4), however, the home advantage and better statistics for Naxxar Lions at home speak in their favor. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for the hosts, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the low efficiency of both teams.
Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naxxar Lions play Gzira United in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 17 February 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Naxxar Lions: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gzira United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naxxar Lions scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Gzira United scores 1.19 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naxxar Lions 58%, Gzira United 50%. Over 2.5: Naxxar Lions 55%, Gzira United 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Naxxar Lions has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.09. Naxxar Lions: 8.5 shots per match, Gzira United: 7.4.
Match halves
Naxxar Lions: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Gzira United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Naxxar Lions: 76-90+ (10 goals). Gzira United: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Naxxar Lions presents solid home form with 33% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match in home games, with 15% efficiency and a decent xG of 1.31. Gzira United, on the other hand, has poor results on the road – only 18% wins, a negative goal difference (-9), and high goal concession (averaging 1.91 per match). The visitors fail to score in as many as 45% of away matches, which, given their low xG (0.97), suggests offensive problems. The form of both teams in the last five matches is comparable (PPG 1.4), however, the home advantage and better statistics for Naxxar Lions at home speak in their favor. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for the hosts, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the low efficiency of both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naxxar Lions | Gzira United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Naxxar Lions is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Naxxar Lions · 0.8 pts / match - Gzira United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Naxxar Lions is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Naxxar Lions · 1.19 goals / match - Gzira United
Gzira United is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Naxxar Lions · 1.34 goals / match - Gzira United
Naxxar Lions scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Gzira United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
Gzira United scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Naxxar Lions keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Naxxar Lions
Over / Under — Gzira United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naxxar Lions is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Naxxar Lions · 1.13 pts / match - Gzira United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naxxar Lions - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gzira United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Naxxar Lions | Liga | Gzira United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.51 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 45% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Naxxar Lions 0 - 1 - 2 Gzira United. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Naxxar Lions 4:2 Gzira United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Naxxar Lions and Gzira United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 0, Gzira United won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
Naxxar Lions score 1.27 goals per game on average and Gzira United 1.19. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Naxxar Lions's matches and 50% of Gzira United's.
What form are Naxxar Lions and Gzira United in?
Over the last 5 games Naxxar Lions have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gzira United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.