Naxxar Lions vs Mosta: match statistics
Naxxar Lions presents better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 1.8 points per game, while Mosta achieves only 1.2 PPG. The hosts have an advantage in home matches with a 29% win rate and a superior goal difference (-3 compared to -8 for the visitors). Mosta shows poor away form with a 70% loss rate and only 30% wins, along with a high rate of failing to score (40% FTS%). xG analysis indicates a balanced quality of play (1.22 for the hosts vs 1.02 for the visitors), but Naxxar Lions' advantage in form and home play gives them a higher chance of winning. A close match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts.
Naxxar Lions vs Mosta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naxxar Lions played Mosta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Naxxar Lions: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mosta: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naxxar Lions scores 1.21 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Mosta scores 1.11 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naxxar Lions 63%, Mosta 47%. Over 2.5: Naxxar Lions 58%, Mosta 47%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Naxxar Lions has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.05. Naxxar Lions: 9.5 shots per match, Mosta: 6.8.
Match halves
Naxxar Lions: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53. Mosta: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Naxxar Lions: 31-45+ (6 goals). Mosta: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Naxxar Lions presents better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 1.8 points per game, while Mosta achieves only 1.2 PPG. The hosts have an advantage in home matches with a 29% win rate and a superior goal difference (-3 compared to -8 for the visitors). Mosta shows poor away form with a 70% loss rate and only 30% wins, along with a high rate of failing to score (40% FTS%). xG analysis indicates a balanced quality of play (1.22 for the hosts vs 1.02 for the visitors), but Naxxar Lions' advantage in form and home play gives them a higher chance of winning. A close match is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naxxar Lions | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Naxxar Lions is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Naxxar Lions · 0.8 pts / match - Mosta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Naxxar Lions is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Naxxar Lions · 1.11 goals / match - Mosta
Naxxar Lions scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Mosta scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Naxxar Lions keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Naxxar Lions
Over / Under - Mosta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naxxar Lions is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Naxxar Lions · 0.89 pts / match - Mosta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naxxar Lions - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Naxxar Lions | Liga | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Naxxar Lions 1 - 0 - 1 Mosta. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Naxxar Lions 5:0 Mosta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Naxxar Lions and Mosta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 1, Mosta won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?
Naxxar Lions score 1.21 goals per game on average and Mosta 1.11. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Naxxar Lions's matches and 47% of Mosta's.
What form are Naxxar Lions and Mosta in?
Over the last 5 games Naxxar Lions have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mosta 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?
The statistical background for Naxxar Lions vs Mosta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.