Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi: match statistics
Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nea Salamis played ASIL Lysi in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Nea Salamis: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. ASIL Lysi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nea Salamis scores 1.85 and concedes 0.52 goals per match. ASIL Lysi scores 1.11 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nea Salamis 37%, ASIL Lysi 56%. Over 2.5: Nea Salamis 44%, ASIL Lysi 48%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Nea Salamis has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.32. Nea Salamis: 10.6 shots per match, ASIL Lysi: 7.7.
Match halves
Nea Salamis: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.78. ASIL Lysi: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Nea Salamis: 76-90+ (13 goals). ASIL Lysi: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Nea Salamis to win: the hosts sit 1st in the table and have an 85% home win rate with 0% defeats, scoring 1.77 and conceding just 0.38 goals per match. At home they generate an average xG of 1.97, produce 16.4 shots with 6.4 on target and keep a clean sheet in 62% of games, indicating high-quality chances and a stable defense. ASIL Lysi are 9th, with only a 23% away win rate, averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.92 conceded on the road and just 15% clean sheets; they have conceded 46 goals this season versus Nea’s 14. In the last 5 matches ASIL conceded 14 goals (2.8 per game) and scored 9, while Nea conceded 4 (0.8 per game) and scored 7, clearly favoring the hosts. Considering the xG advantage (1.97 vs 1.42), better finishing by Nea (10% conversion vs 8%), higher number of shots on target (6.4 vs 4.8) and an 85% home win rate, I estimate a 78% probability of a home win, 12% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates above the league average: Nea Salamis 57% and ASIL Lysi 54% versus league 49%, indicating an edge for 'Both Teams To Score'. ASIL Lysi is a weak defensive unit — conceded 46 goals this season, allows xG against of 1.52 per match and in the last 5 fixtures conceded on average 2.8 goals, with only 15% clean sheets. Nea Salamis has 50 goals scored this season, averaging 1.14 goals per match, with a higher shot conversion rate 12% versus ASIL’s 8%, and their offensive xG is 1.23, increasing the hosts' likelihood to score. Conversely ASIL has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per match) and 1.08 goals seasonally, while Nea has only 29% clean sheets and in the last 5 matches concedes 0.8 goals, so the visitor also has a realistic chance to score. Considering the 57%/54% BTTS rates and ASIL’s defensive frailty, I assign 62% to 'BTTS - Yes' and 38% to 'No Goal'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG are 1.38 for the home side and 1.37 for the away side, totaling 2.75 expected goals — calculated as the average of attacking xG (1.23 for Nea Salamis, 1.42 for ASIL) and opponent defensive xG (1.52 for ASIL, 1.32 for Nea Salamis). Season averages corroborate a propensity for goals: Nea Salamis scores 1.14 and concedes 1.50 per match, ASIL scores 1.08 and concedes 1.92; the share of matches over 1.5 goals is 71% for the home team and 69% for the away team. In the last 5 matches Nea Salamis scored 7 goals (1.4) and conceded 4 (0.8), while ASIL scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 14 (2.8), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Additionally both teams have BTTS rates of 57%/54%, high Over0.5 figures of 93%/92% and shot stats of 8.58 vs 11 with conversion rates 12% vs 8%, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (~76%); Over 2.5 is moderate (~52%), and Over 3.5 has a low probability (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1): the hosts draw at the break in 50% of matches and the visitors in 54%, yielding an average HT draw probability of approximately 52%. However, the visitors create more first-half chances (xG 1.42 vs 1.23 for the hosts) and hold the lead at the break more often (31% vs 14%), so a draw at Half-Time is a realistic starting outcome. After the break the dynamics reverse in favor of the home side: Nea Salamis scores on average 0.79 goals in second halves and has accumulated 23 points in second halves (an average of 1.64 points), whereas ASIL has only 9 points and averages 0.69 points in second halves. Additionally, ASIL concedes on average 1.31 goals after the break, and the hosts are more efficient with shots (conversion rate 12% versus 8% for the visitors), which favors the home team late in the match. As a result the model assigns X/1 23%, followed by 2/1 and X/2 at around 13% each, while 1/X (2%) and 1/2 (1%) are the least likely outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nea Salamis | ASIL Lysi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nea Salamis is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nea Salamis · 0.8 pts / match - ASIL Lysi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nea Salamis is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Nea Salamis · 1.11 goals / match - ASIL Lysi
Nea Salamis is 227% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.52 goals / match - Nea Salamis · 1.7 goals / match - ASIL Lysi
Nea Salamis scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while ASIL Lysi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
ASIL Lysi scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Nea Salamis keeps a clean sheet in 59% (16 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nea Salamis
Over / Under - ASIL Lysi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nea Salamis is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - Nea Salamis · 1.19 pts / match - ASIL Lysi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nea Salamis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ASIL Lysi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nea Salamis
ASIL Lysi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Nea Salamis | Liga | ASIL Lysi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.72 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Nea SalamisGoalDaniel Alejandro Pérez Córdova
- Nea SalamisGoalJosé Manuel Artiles Romero
- Nea SalamisGoalDaniel Alejandro Pérez Córdova
- Nea SalamisGoalDaniel Alejandro Pérez Córdova
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nea Salamis 2 - 0 - 0 ASIL Lysi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi?
The Second Division match finished Nea Salamis 4:1 ASIL Lysi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nea Salamis and ASIL Lysi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 2, ASIL Lysi won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi?
Nea Salamis score 1.85 goals per game on average and ASIL Lysi 1.11. The Second Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Nea Salamis's matches and 56% of ASIL Lysi's.
What form are Nea Salamis and ASIL Lysi in?
Over the last 5 games Nea Salamis have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and ASIL Lysi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi?
The statistical background for Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.