Cyprus - First DivisionStadio Ammochostos EpistrofiData current as of 25 October 2026

Nea Salamis vs Paphos: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nea Salamis vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nea Salamis play Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Ammochostos Epistrofi.

Current form

Nea Salamis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Paphos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nea Salamis scores 1.83 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Paphos scores 1.17 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nea Salamis 83%, Paphos 17%. Over 2.5: Nea Salamis 100%, Paphos 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Paphos has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.20. Nea Salamis: 9.8 shots per match, Paphos: 17.0.

Match halves

Nea Salamis: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Paphos: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Nea Salamis: 31-45+ (3 goals). Paphos: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(7.17)
(4.45)
(1.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match1.17
Nea SalamisPaphos
2.5Goals conceded / match0.5
Nea SalamisPaphos
43%Average possession58%
Nea SalamisPaphos
3.33Shots on target / match5.83
Nea SalamisPaphos

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.83Shots per match17
Nea SalamisPaphos
3.33Shots on target5.83
Nea SalamisPaphos
18.6%Shot conversion6.9%
Nea SalamisPaphos
43%Possession58%
Nea SalamisPaphos
1.2xG for2.02
Nea SalamisPaphos
1.85xG against1.33
Nea SalamisPaphos

Shooting quality

Nea Salamis: Counter-attackingPaphos: Dominant
Nea SalamisPaphos
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.550.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paphos is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Nea Salamis · 1.6 pts / match - Paphos

Nea Salamis
LLWLL
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Paphos
DWLWD
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nea Salamis is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Nea Salamis · 1.17 goals / match - Paphos

Paphos is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.5 goals / match - Nea Salamis · 0.5 goals / match - Paphos

Nea Salamis scoring profile: strong

Nea Salamis scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

Paphos scoring profile: strong

Paphos scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Nea Salamis keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)7
Nea SalamisPaphos
15Goals conceded (season)3
Nea SalamisPaphos
4.33Average goals in match1.67
Nea SalamisPaphos
8Goals scored (last 5)4
Nea SalamisPaphos
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
Nea SalamisPaphos

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Nea SalamisPaphos
50%2 goals33%
Nea SalamisPaphos
33%3 goals33%
Nea SalamisPaphos
0%4 goals0%
Nea SalamisPaphos

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal33%
Nea SalamisPaphos
83%2 goals17%
Nea SalamisPaphos
50%3 goals0%
Nea SalamisPaphos
33%4 goals0%
Nea SalamisPaphos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Nea SalamisPaphos
17%BTTS in both halves0%
Nea SalamisPaphos
33%Scored in both halves17%
Nea SalamisPaphos

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Nea SalamisPaphos
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Nea SalamisPaphos
80%BTTS - last 520%
Nea SalamisPaphos

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Nea SalamisPaphos
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Nea SalamisPaphos
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Nea SalamisPaphos

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Nea SalamisPaphos
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Nea SalamisPaphos
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Nea SalamisPaphos

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paphos is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nea Salamis · 1.17 pts / match - Paphos

Nea Salamis - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing
Paphos - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.17
Nea SalamisPaphos
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Nea SalamisPaphos
1.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
Nea SalamisPaphos
2.17Average goals (1st half)0.33
Nea SalamisPaphos
17%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Nea SalamisPaphos
50%No goal before half-time83%
Nea SalamisPaphos

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.83
Nea SalamisPaphos
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Nea SalamisPaphos
1.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Nea SalamisPaphos
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Nea SalamisPaphos
17%Clean sheet after half-time83%
Nea SalamisPaphos
17%No goal after half-time50%
Nea SalamisPaphos

Nea Salamis - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paphos - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nea Salamis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Paphos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.21.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nea Salamis
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nea Salamis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
177%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
34%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

Nea SalamisLigaPaphos
Average goals in match▲ 4.332.89▼ 1.67
Both teams scored▲ 83%59%▼ 17%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%61%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 17%26%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%73%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Nea Salamis and Paphos play?

Nea Salamis face Paphos on 26 October 2026 in First Division at Stadio Ammochostos Epistrofi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nea Salamis vs Paphos?

Nea Salamis score 1.83 goals per game on average and Paphos 1.17. The First Division average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Nea Salamis's matches and 17% of Paphos's.

What form are Nea Salamis and Paphos in?

Over the last 5 games Nea Salamis have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Paphos 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nea Salamis vs Paphos?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.