NEC vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NEC played Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

NEC: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Ajax: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

NEC scores 2.56 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Ajax scores 1.88 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NEC 75%, Ajax 69%. Over 2.5: NEC 81%, Ajax 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

NEC has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.72. NEC: 15.9 shots per match, Ajax: 14.6.

Match halves

NEC: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.75. Ajax: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

NEC: 76-90+ (11 goals). Ajax: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
NECAjax
14Shots19
NECAjax
5Shots on target8
NECAjax
1.62xG2.2
NECAjax
1Corners7
NECAjax
54Dangerous attacks62
NECAjax
8Fouls8
NECAjax
5Cards3
NECAjax

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.56Goals scored / match1.88
NECAjax
1.69Goals conceded / match1.25
NECAjax
58%Average possession57%
NECAjax
6.94Shots on target / match6
NECAjax

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.94Shots per match14.56
NECAjax
6.94Shots on target6
NECAjax
16.1%Shot conversion12.9%
NECAjax
58%Possession57%
NECAjax
1.88xG for1.72
NECAjax
1.31xG against1.58
NECAjax

Shooting quality

NEC: DominantAjax: Dominant
NECAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)44%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NEC is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - NEC · 1.8 pts / match - Ajax

NEC
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-4
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Ajax
LLWWW
Season result split
50% W31% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-3
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

2.56 goals / match - NEC · 1.88 goals / match - Ajax

Ajax is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.69 goals / match - NEC · 1.25 goals / match - Ajax

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

41Goals scored (season)30
NECAjax
27Goals conceded (season)20
NECAjax
4.25Average goals in match3.13
NECAjax
14Goals scored (last 5)9
NECAjax
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
NECAjax

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal94%
NECAjax
88%2 goals69%
NECAjax
50%3 goals25%
NECAjax
19%4 goals0%
NECAjax

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal75%
NECAjax
50%2 goals44%
NECAjax
25%3 goals6%
NECAjax
6%4 goals0%
NECAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time31%
NECAjax
38%BTTS in both halves13%
NECAjax
69%Scored in both halves56%
NECAjax

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
NECAjax
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NECAjax
80%BTTS - last 560%
NECAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NECAjax
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
NECAjax
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
NECAjax

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
NECAjax
88%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
NECAjax
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
NECAjax

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / match - NEC · 1.44 pts / match - Ajax

NEC - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per match (1st half)1.44
NECAjax
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.81
NECAjax
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
NECAjax
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.56
NECAjax
38%Clean sheet before half-time38%
NECAjax
25%No goal before half-time31%
NECAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per match (2nd half)1.94
NECAjax
1.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
NECAjax
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
NECAjax
2.63Average goals (2nd half)1.56
NECAjax
31%Clean sheet after half-time56%
NECAjax
13%No goal after half-time19%
NECAjax

NEC - second-half results

38% W56% D6% L
21
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ajax - second-half results

50% W44% D6% L
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.42.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NEC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
8
6
46-60
9
4
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
5
31-45
9
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

NECLigaAjax
Average goals in match 4.253.28 3.13
Both teams scored 75%61% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 81%63% 56%
Clean sheets 19%20% 25%
Goal before half-time 94%86% 100%
Goal after half-time 94%85% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NECYellow cardBryan Linssen
  2. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Kenneth TaylorOff: Sean Steur
  3. NECRed cardSami Ouaissa
  4. NECSubstitutionOn: Noé LebretonOff: Bryan Linssen
  5. NECSubstitutionOn: Deveron FonvilleOff: Koki Ogawa
  6. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Rayane BounidaOff: Davy Klaassen
  7. NECSubstitutionOn: Kento ShiogaiOff: Basar Onal
  8. NECSubstitutionOn: Brayann PereiraOff: Tjaronn Chery
  9. AjaxYellow cardRayane Bounida
  10. AjaxYellow cardMika Marcel Godts
  11. AjaxSubstitutionOn: Jorthy MokioOff: Lucas Oliveira Rosa
  12. AjaxYellow cardYouri Regeer
  13. NECYellow cardAhmetcan Kaplan

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of NEC vs Ajax?

The Eredivisie match finished NEC 2:2 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Ajax?

NEC score 2.56 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of NEC's matches and 69% of Ajax's.

What form are NEC and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Ajax 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Ajax?

The statistical background for NEC vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.