NEC vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NEC played Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

NEC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Calvary: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

NEC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.83 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NEC 67%, Calvary 50%. Over 2.5: NEC 33%, Calvary 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

NEC has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.07. NEC: 10.7 shots per match, Calvary: 4.2.

Match halves

NEC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

NEC: 0-15 (2 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
NECCalvary
13Shots8
NECCalvary
3Shots on target0
NECCalvary
1.77xG0.95
NECCalvary
2Corners2
NECCalvary
101Dangerous attacks60
NECCalvary
10Fouls16
NECCalvary
0Cards0
NECCalvary

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.83
NECCalvary
1.17Goals conceded / match2.33
NECCalvary
43%Average possession28%
NECCalvary
3Shots on target / match1.33
NECCalvary

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.67Shots per match4.17
NECCalvary
3Shots on target1.33
NECCalvary
9.4%Shot conversion20%
NECCalvary
43%Possession28%
NECCalvary
1.67xG for1.07
NECCalvary
1.64xG against1.63
NECCalvary

Shooting quality

NEC: BalancedCalvary: Counter-attacking
NECCalvary
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.26
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.62

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NEC is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - NEC · 0.2 pts / match - Calvary

NEC
DLWDL
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Calvary
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W17% D83% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-5
0.17 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - NEC · 0.83 goals / match - Calvary

NEC is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - NEC · 2.33 goals / match - Calvary

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Calvary scoring profile: strong

Calvary scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)5
NECCalvary
7Goals conceded (season)14
NECCalvary
2.17Average goals in match3.17
NECCalvary
5Goals scored (last 5)4
NECCalvary
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
NECCalvary

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal50%
NECCalvary
17%2 goals33%
NECCalvary
0%3 goals0%
NECCalvary
0%4 goals0%
NECCalvary

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
NECCalvary
33%2 goals67%
NECCalvary
0%3 goals50%
NECCalvary
0%4 goals33%
NECCalvary

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
NECCalvary
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NECCalvary
17%Scored in both halves0%
NECCalvary

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
NECCalvary
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NECCalvary
60%BTTS - last 540%
NECCalvary

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
NECCalvary
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
NECCalvary
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
NECCalvary

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
NECCalvary
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
NECCalvary
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
NECCalvary

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 406% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - NEC · 0.33 pts / match - Calvary

NEC - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Calvary - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.33
NECCalvary
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.17
NECCalvary
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
NECCalvary
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.5
NECCalvary
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
NECCalvary
50%No goal before half-time83%
NECCalvary

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.17
NECCalvary
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
NECCalvary
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
NECCalvary
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
NECCalvary
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
NECCalvary
50%No goal after half-time83%
NECCalvary

NEC - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calvary - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NEC
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.67
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
174%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

NECLigaCalvary
Average goals in match 2.172.26 3.17
Both teams scored 67%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%43% 50%
Clean sheets 17%32% 17%
Goal before half-time 50%58% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%55% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
0.92
Away goals / match
+46%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of NEC vs Calvary?

The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 1:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Calvary?

NEC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.83. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of NEC's matches and 50% of Calvary's.

What form are NEC and Calvary in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Calvary 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Calvary?

The statistical background for NEC vs Calvary — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.