NEC vs Express: match statistics
NEC are displaying significantly better home form with a 33% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +1, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Express have not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), and their away form is disastrous with a 'ldddlll' streak and a -8 goal difference. The hosts average 1.33 goals at home, while the visitors score only 0.29 goals per away match and fail to score in 71% of their away games. Furthermore, Express have gained only 3 points in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), conceding a worrying 9 goals, which confirms their poor run of form. NEC, with 54% possession and superior xG statistics (1.76 vs 1.2), should control the proceedings and secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
NEC vs Express: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC played Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
NEC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Express: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Express scores 1.00 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 57%, Express 29%. Over 2.5: NEC 29%, Express 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.30. NEC: 9.4 shots per match, Express: 8.8.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50. Express: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
NEC: 0-15 (3 goals). Express: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NEC are displaying significantly better home form with a 33% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +1, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Express have not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), and their away form is disastrous with a 'ldddlll' streak and a -8 goal difference. The hosts average 1.33 goals at home, while the visitors score only 0.29 goals per away match and fail to score in 71% of their away games. Furthermore, Express have gained only 3 points in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), conceding a worrying 9 goals, which confirms their poor run of form. NEC, with 54% possession and superior xG statistics (1.76 vs 1.2), should control the proceedings and secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Express | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - NEC · 0.6 pts / match - Express
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - NEC · 1.21 goals / match - Express
NEC scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Express scores in 43% of matches (6 of 14 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - Express
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - NEC · 1.29 pts / match - Express
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Express - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
Express
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Express | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs Express?
The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 0:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Express?
NEC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Express 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 57% of NEC's matches and 29% of Express's.
What form are NEC and Express in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Express 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Express?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.