NEC vs Feyenoord: match statistics
NEC vs Feyenoord: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC played Feyenoord in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
NEC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Feyenoord: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 2.45 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Feyenoord scores 2.10 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 79%, Feyenoord 59%. Over 2.5: NEC 79%, Feyenoord 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Feyenoord has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.92. NEC: 16.3 shots per match, Feyenoord: 17.1.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.52. Feyenoord: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
NEC: 46-60 (15 goals). Feyenoord: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win: NEC averages 2.64 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.96, while Feyenoord averages 1.86 goals and xG 1.69 away. Form favors NEC — last 5 matches: 4 wins and 1 draw (avg 2.6 points) and 13 goals scored, versus Feyenoord’s 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (avg 1.2 points) and only 6 goals. NEC creates more chances at home: 17.07 shots and 6.5 on target per match versus Feyenoord’s 14.5 shots and 5.21 on target, with conversion rates of 15% vs 13%. Defensively the gap is marginal — Feyenoord concedes 1.36 goals away vs NEC’s 1.57 conceded at home, and clean sheet ratio is 36% for Feyenoord and 29% for NEC. Considering NEC’s clear offensive edge at home and the fact that NEC have not recorded a match without scoring at home (0%), I estimate probabilities as: home win 60%, draw 25%, Feyenoord win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'BTTS - Yes' scenario appears more likely because NEC has a seasonal BTTS rate of 73% and records only 27% clean sheets at home, while Feyenoord has a seasonal BTTS of 43%. xG analysis further shows NEC generates 2.20 xG per match versus average xG conceded to Feyenoord of 1.32; Feyenoord has 1.69 xG while average xG conceded to NEC is 1.16, indicating both sides can create scoring chances. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of meetings, the league has a seasonal BTTS level of 63% and an average of 3.19 goals per match, so the competition environment favors both teams scoring. Defensive data also supports goals from both sides: NEC concedes 1.4 goals per match on average, Feyenoord 1.36, and NEC averages 7.47 shots on target versus Feyenoord’s 5.21, increasing the likelihood of goals. Based on this, I recommend 'Yes' at 68% probability and 'No' at 32% as the most consistent signal from the provided numbers.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model predicts 1.76 xG for NEC and 1.43 xG for Feyenoord, totalling 3.19 goals. Season shares of matches over 1.5 goals are NEC 87% and Feyenoord 79% (average 83%), and NEC has averaged 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line also has support – season Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 64% (average 62%) and the combined xG of 3.19 is clearly above 2.5. Over 3.5 looks weaker: season Over 3.5 rates are 47% and 36% (average ~42%), and the expected total of 3.19 is below 3.5, therefore the best and strongest signal from the data is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
NEC has strong starts and form: in their last 5 home matches they led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and averaged 1.4 goals by half-time, whereas Feyenoord averaged 0.4 goals by half-time in their last 5 matches. The form gap is considerable — NEC won 80% of their last 5 matches (4 of 5), and Feyenoord only 20% (1 of 5), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. NEC generates more high-quality chances: xG 2.2 versus 1.69 for Feyenoord and on average 7.47 shots on target versus 5.21, a clear advantage in chance creation. Additionally, NEC concedes only 0.47 goals in the first half compared to 0.86 for Feyenoord, and the average second-half goals in home matches is 2.27, suggesting that a lead at the break is often maintained or extended after the interval. Due to the season-long BTTS tendency for the hosts (73% of NEC games see both teams score) I attribute some probability to scenarios with opposition goals, but the strongest data signal points to 1/1 (Half-Time/Full-Time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - NEC · 1.2 pts / match - Feyenoord
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.45 goals / match - NEC · 2.1 goals / match - Feyenoord
Feyenoord is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - NEC · 1.38 goals / match - Feyenoord
NEC scores in 97% of matches (28 of 29 matches), while Feyenoord keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Feyenoord scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - Feyenoord
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Feyenoord is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - NEC · 1.66 pts / match - Feyenoord
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Feyenoord - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
Feyenoord
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.07 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 97% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NEC 1 - 0 - 0 Feyenoord. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs Feyenoord?
The Eredivisie match finished NEC 1:1 Feyenoord. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Feyenoord?
NEC score 2.45 goals per game on average and Feyenoord 2.10. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 79% of NEC's matches and 59% of Feyenoord's.
What form are NEC and Feyenoord in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Feyenoord 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Feyenoord?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.