NEC vs Heracles: match statistics
NEC is showcasing impressive form, winning all of their last five matches and occupying third place in the table. The hosts boast an excellent home record with a 67% win rate, averaging 2.78 goals scored and just 1.44 conceded per match. Heracles finds itself in a disastrous situation in 16th place, with an 82% loss rate away from home and conceding an average of 2.64 goals in away matches. The Expected Goals (xG) difference is vast: NEC generates an average of 1.71 xG at home, while Heracles manages only 0.99 on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away games, which, combined with the hosts' excellent attacking form (12 goals in the last 5 matches), makes NEC a clear favorite. The class difference between the two teams is evident both in current form and seasonal statistics.
NEC vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC played Heracles in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
NEC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Heracles: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 2.60 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Heracles scores 1.43 and concedes 2.52. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 80%, Heracles 57%. Over 2.5: NEC 85%, Heracles 76%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.27. NEC: 15.6 shots per match, Heracles: 11.1.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.65. Heracles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
NEC: 76-90+ (13 goals). Heracles: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NEC is showcasing impressive form, winning all of their last five matches and occupying third place in the table. The hosts boast an excellent home record with a 67% win rate, averaging 2.78 goals scored and just 1.44 conceded per match. Heracles finds itself in a disastrous situation in 16th place, with an 82% loss rate away from home and conceding an average of 2.64 goals in away matches. The Expected Goals (xG) difference is vast: NEC generates an average of 1.71 xG at home, while Heracles manages only 0.99 on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away games, which, combined with the hosts' excellent attacking form (12 goals in the last 5 matches), makes NEC a clear favorite. The class difference between the two teams is evident both in current form and seasonal statistics.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - NEC · 0.6 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - NEC · 1.43 goals / match - Heracles
NEC is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - NEC · 2.52 goals / match - Heracles
NEC scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
Heracles scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - NEC · 0.9 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.30 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 85% | 62% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 19% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NEC 1 - 0 - 0 Heracles. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs Heracles?
The Eredivisie match finished NEC 4:1 Heracles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Heracles?
NEC score 2.60 goals per game on average and Heracles 1.43. The Eredivisie average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 80% of NEC's matches and 57% of Heracles's.
What form are NEC and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Heracles 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Heracles?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NEC vs Heracles: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.