NEC vs Ntugasaze: match statistics
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NEC vs Ntugasaze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC play Ntugasaze in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 27 October 2026.
Current form
NEC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ntugasaze: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 1.71 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Ntugasaze scores 0.50 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 43%, Ntugasaze 33%. Over 2.5: NEC 43%, Ntugasaze 50%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.42. NEC: 7.7 shots per match, Ntugasaze: 10.5.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Ntugasaze: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
NEC: 46-60 (4 goals). Ntugasaze: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 57% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - NEC · 0.6 pts / match - Ntugasaze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 242% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - NEC · 0.5 goals / match - Ntugasaze
NEC is 281% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - NEC · 2.17 goals / match - Ntugasaze
NEC scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Ntugasaze keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Ntugasaze scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - Ntugasaze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 155% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - NEC · 0.67 pts / match - Ntugasaze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ntugasaze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
Ntugasaze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 39% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do NEC and Ntugasaze play?
NEC face Ntugasaze on 27 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Ntugasaze?
NEC score 1.71 goals per game on average and Ntugasaze 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 43% of NEC's matches and 33% of Ntugasaze's.
What form are NEC and Ntugasaze in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ntugasaze 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Ntugasaze?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.