Necaxa vs América: match statistics
Necaxa vs América: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa played América in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 28 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Necaxa: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. América: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.11 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. América scores 2.13 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 89%, América 50%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 67%, América 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
América has higher xG: 2.16 vs 1.54. Necaxa: 14.3 shots per match, América: 20.6.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.78. América: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 76-90+ (5 goals). América: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América have a clear attacking edge away from home: they average 2.27 xG and 8.25 shots on target per match, while Necaxa record 1.69 xG and 5.6 shots on target at home. The visitors score an average of 1.75 goals away from home, whereas the hosts concede 1.60 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Necaxa come into this match on a run of five league games without a win, having scored just 4 goals and conceded 9 during that spell. América have also lacked complete consistency recently, but over the course of the season they have a 17:8 record after 8 matches, compared with Necaxa’s 10:16 after 9 games. The visitors’ advantage in chance creation, shot volume and away finishing efficiency points towards an América victory, although the hosts could find the net given their average of 1.2 goals at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is strengthened by their current form: in their last 5 matches, Necaxa and América recorded BTTS in 80% and 60% of games respectively, while both teams conceded an average of 1.8 goals. América creates a high volume of chances, averaging 2.27 xG, 8.25 shots on target and 20.75 attempts per match, making a goal against a Necaxa defence that has allowed 1.93 xG over its last five matches highly probable. Necaxa have scored just 0.8 goals per game recently, but América conceded 1.8 goals during the same period and allowed opponents 1.61 xG, giving the hosts a realistic route to scoring. The main risk to the pick is Necaxa’s excellent seasonal clean-sheet rate of 75% and its season-long BTTS rate of only 25%; however, the clear deterioration in their defensive performances during the current run shifts the assessment towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals is strongly supported by the data, as at least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Necaxa’s matches and 75% of América’s games. At home, the hosts score an average of 2.50 goals, while América concedes 1.50 away from home. The visitors also create a high volume of chances, with an average xG of 2.27. Both teams also record more than 20 shots per match, although América averages 8.25 shots on target compared with Necaxa’s 5.75. Necaxa’s recent form has been weaker, conceding 9 goals in five matches, while América has scored 9 goals over the same period, further strengthening the likelihood of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an América win, as Necaxa have drawn at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches without leading at the break on any occasion. Both teams have shown limited attacking efficiency before the interval recently: Necaxa average 0.4 goals and América just 0.2, against an average of 1.0–1.2 goals in the first halves of their matches. After the break, the visitors’ advantage increases significantly: América have averaged 1.6 goals in their last five matches, while Necaxa have conceded 1.2 goals in those second halves and have failed to win any of them. In addition, América create more chances over the course of the season, with an xG of 2.27 compared with Necaxa’s 2.06, and record an average of 8.25 shots on target per match against the hosts’ 5.75. Necaxa’s poor current form, having earned only 0.4 points per match in their last five appearances, further increases the likelihood that an even start will turn into an away win after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | América | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
América is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Necaxa · 2 pts / match - América
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Necaxa · 2.13 goals / match - América
América is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Necaxa · 1 goals / match - América
Necaxa scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while América keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
América scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - América
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
América is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.75 pts / match - América
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
América - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
América
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | América | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Necaxa 0 - 1 - 1 América. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs América?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 2:4 América. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and América?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 0, América won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs América?
Necaxa score 1.11 goals per game on average and América 2.13. The Liga MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Necaxa's matches and 50% of América's.
What form are Necaxa and América in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and América 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs América?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Necaxa vs América: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.