Necaxa vs Atlas: match statistics
Necaxa is displaying decidedly better form, earning 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), whereas Atlas has secured only 4 points in this period. The hosts hold a clear advantage in home fixtures with a 33% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while Atlas wins only 10% of their away matches and holds a disastrous balance of -13 goals. xG statistics also favor Necaxa (1.81 xG For vs 1.31 xG Against at home), compared to Atlas's poor away numbers (0.88 xG For vs 1.77 xG Against). Atlas has not kept a clean sheet in any away match and fails to score in 50% of their outings on foreign soil. Considering all these factors, Necaxa has a realistic chance of victory, although Atlas may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
Necaxa vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa played Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Necaxa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atlas: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.42 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Atlas scores 1.32 and concedes 1.95. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 68%, Atlas 53%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 53%, Atlas 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.03. Necaxa: 16.5 shots per match, Atlas: 9.6.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Atlas: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 0-15 (5 goals). Atlas: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Necaxa is displaying decidedly better form, earning 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), whereas Atlas has secured only 4 points in this period. The hosts hold a clear advantage in home fixtures with a 33% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while Atlas wins only 10% of their away matches and holds a disastrous balance of -13 goals. xG statistics also favor Necaxa (1.81 xG For vs 1.31 xG Against at home), compared to Atlas's poor away numbers (0.88 xG For vs 1.77 xG Against). Atlas has not kept a clean sheet in any away match and fails to score in 50% of their outings on foreign soil. Considering all these factors, Necaxa has a realistic chance of victory, although Atlas may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Necaxa is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Necaxa · 0.8 pts / match - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.32 goals / match - Atlas
Necaxa is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.95 goals / match - Atlas
Necaxa scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Atlas scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.47 pts / match - Atlas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Necaxa 0 - 0 - 1 Atlas. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 0:1 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Atlas?
Necaxa score 1.42 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.32. The Liga MX average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Necaxa's matches and 53% of Atlas's.
What form are Necaxa and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlas 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Atlas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Necaxa vs Atlas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.