Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a bet on a draw. Necaxa performs poorly in home matches with only 30% wins and 40% losses; however, their home goal difference is positive (+1), and their average xG (1.73) exceeds their actual output. Atlético San Luis away from home have identical win and loss percentages (45% each) but impress with their efficiency – averaging 1.73 goals per game with a 14% conversion rate and a 0% rate of matches without a goal scored. The recent form of both teams is similarly unstable – Necaxa averaging 0.8 points per match over their last five games, San Luis averaging 1.0 point. Considering the even xG statistics of both sides and their inconsistent form, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa played Atlético San Luis in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Necaxa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético San Luis: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.29 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Atlético San Luis scores 1.48 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 62%, Atlético San Luis 67%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 48%, Atlético San Luis 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.24. Necaxa: 15.8 shots per match, Atlético San Luis: 10.9.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67. Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 0-15 (5 goals). Atlético San Luis: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a bet on a draw. Necaxa performs poorly in home matches with only 30% wins and 40% losses; however, their home goal difference is positive (+1), and their average xG (1.73) exceeds their actual output. Atlético San Luis away from home have identical win and loss percentages (45% each) but impress with their efficiency – averaging 1.73 goals per game with a 14% conversion rate and a 0% rate of matches without a goal scored. The recent form of both teams is similarly unstable – Necaxa averaging 0.8 points per match over their last five games, San Luis averaging 1.0 point. Considering the even xG statistics of both sides and their inconsistent form, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético San Luis is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.48 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Atlético San Luis is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.67 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Necaxa scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Atlético San Luis scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético San Luis is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.19 pts / match - Atlético San Luis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
Atlético San Luis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Necaxa 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético San Luis. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 4:1 Atlético San Luis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
Necaxa score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético San Luis 1.48. The Liga MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Necaxa's matches and 67% of Atlético San Luis's.
What form are Necaxa and Atlético San Luis in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético San Luis 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.