Necaxa vs Mazatlán: match statistics
Necaxa vs Mazatlán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa play Mazatlán in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 05:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Necaxa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mazatlán: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.26 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Mazatlán scores 1.24 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 62%, Mazatlán 76%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 56%, Mazatlán 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.16. Necaxa: 14.0 shots per match, Mazatlán: 10.2.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Mazatlán: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 46-60 (9 goals). Mazatlán: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I pick 1 (home win): Necaxa score on average 1.29 goals per home match and have xG 1.64, while Mazatlán score only 0.71 goals away and have xG 1.06. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Necaxa concede 1.07 goals at home, while Mazatlán concede 1.71 away; the visitors have 71% losses and only 7% wins on the road. Necaxa create more chances: on average 16.43 shots and 4.79 on target per home match versus 9.36 shots and 3.29 on target for Mazatlán away, which increases the hosts’ scoring opportunities. Still, Mazatlán have better recent form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses and 7 goals in 5 matches) than Necaxa (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses and 5 goals), so the visitors can be dangerous on the counter. Considering the xG advantage (1.64 vs 1.06), higher shooting metrics and lower goals conceded rate for Necaxa, I assess the probability of a home win at about 60%, draw 25% and a Mazatlán win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Necaxa is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Necaxa · 0.8 pts / match - Mazatlán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.94 goals / match - Mazatlán
Necaxa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
Mazatlán scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Necaxa
Over / Under — Mazatlán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Necaxa is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Necaxa · 0.82 pts / match - Mazatlán
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
Mazatlán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 24% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Necaxa 0 - 1 - 0 Mazatlán. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 2:1 Mazatlán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
Necaxa score 1.26 goals per game on average and Mazatlán 1.24. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Necaxa's matches and 76% of Mazatlán's.
What form are Necaxa and Mazatlán in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mazatlán 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The statistical background for Necaxa vs Mazatlán — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.