Necaxa vs Monterrey: match statistics
Necaxa shows excellent form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per match without a defeat (3 wins, 2 draws), providing a solid foundation for this clash. The hosts are effective at their home stadium, winning 38% of home matches with only 25% losses and maintaining a positive goal difference (+4). Despite a better overall season record (11 wins), Monterrey performs significantly worse away, losing 55% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-7). The visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals away, which is a worrying signal, especially in the context of recent form (only 1.2 points per match in the last five games). Given Necaxa's form advantage, home solidity, and Monterrey's distinct away struggles, I expect a home win, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high scoring efficiency of both teams.
Necaxa vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa played Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Necaxa: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Monterrey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Monterrey scores 1.77 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 72%, Monterrey 59%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 56%, Monterrey 59%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.50. Necaxa: 16.4 shots per match, Monterrey: 13.1.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Monterrey: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 0-15 (5 goals). Monterrey: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Necaxa shows excellent form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per match without a defeat (3 wins, 2 draws), providing a solid foundation for this clash. The hosts are effective at their home stadium, winning 38% of home matches with only 25% losses and maintaining a positive goal difference (+4). Despite a better overall season record (11 wins), Monterrey performs significantly worse away, losing 55% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-7). The visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals away, which is a worrying signal, especially in the context of recent form (only 1.2 points per match in the last five games). Given Necaxa's form advantage, home solidity, and Monterrey's distinct away struggles, I expect a home win, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high scoring efficiency of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Necaxa is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.2 pts / match - Monterrey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monterrey is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.77 goals / match - Monterrey
Monterrey is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.59 goals / match - Monterrey
Necaxa scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Monterrey scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Monterrey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.86 pts / match - Monterrey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
Monterrey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.02 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Necaxa 0 - 0 - 1 Monterrey. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 0:2 Monterrey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Monterrey?
Necaxa score 1.50 goals per game on average and Monterrey 1.77. The Liga MX average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Necaxa's matches and 59% of Monterrey's.
What form are Necaxa and Monterrey in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Monterrey 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Monterrey?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.