Mexico - Liga MXEstadio Victoria de AguascalientesData current as of 03 November 2026

Necaxa vs Tijuana: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Necaxa vs Tijuana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Necaxa play Tijuana in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes.

Current form

Necaxa: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Tijuana: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Necaxa scores 1.07 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Tijuana scores 1.67 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Necaxa 73%, Tijuana 67%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 53%, Tijuana 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Necaxa has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.29. Necaxa: 15.2 shots per match, Tijuana: 12.3.

Match halves

Necaxa: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53. Tijuana: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Necaxa: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tijuana: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.15)
(3.70)
(2.90)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.07Goals scored / match1.67
NecaxaTijuana
1.87Goals conceded / match1.4
NecaxaTijuana
49%Average possession41%
NecaxaTijuana
5.07Shots on target / match4.13
NecaxaTijuana

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.2Shots per match12.33
NecaxaTijuana
5.07Shots on target4.13
NecaxaTijuana
7%Shot conversion13.5%
NecaxaTijuana
49%Possession41%
NecaxaTijuana
1.62xG for1.29
NecaxaTijuana
1.75xG against1.76
NecaxaTijuana

Shooting quality

Necaxa: AttackingTijuana: Counter-attacking
NecaxaTijuana
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tijuana is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.4 pts / match - Tijuana

Necaxa
DLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W27% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-9
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Tijuana
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W47% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-3
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-6-1
Last 5 away
0-5-0
DDDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tijuana is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.67 goals / match - Tijuana

Tijuana is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.87 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.4 goals / match - Tijuana

Necaxa scoring profile: very strong

Necaxa scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

Tijuana scoring profile: very strong

Tijuana scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).

16Goals scored (season)25
NecaxaTijuana
28Goals conceded (season)21
NecaxaTijuana
2.93Average goals in match3.07
NecaxaTijuana
4Goals scored (last 5)10
NecaxaTijuana
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
NecaxaTijuana

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal80%
NecaxaTijuana
27%2 goals60%
NecaxaTijuana
7%3 goals20%
NecaxaTijuana
0%4 goals7%
NecaxaTijuana

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal73%
NecaxaTijuana
47%2 goals33%
NecaxaTijuana
33%3 goals20%
NecaxaTijuana
7%4 goals7%
NecaxaTijuana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time27%
NecaxaTijuana
7%BTTS in both halves7%
NecaxaTijuana
7%Scored in both halves33%
NecaxaTijuana

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
NecaxaTijuana
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NecaxaTijuana
40%BTTS - last 580%
NecaxaTijuana

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NecaxaTijuana
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
NecaxaTijuana
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
NecaxaTijuana

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
NecaxaTijuana
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
NecaxaTijuana
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
NecaxaTijuana

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tijuana is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.67 pts / match - Tijuana

Necaxa - half-time state
13% leading60% draw27% trailing
Tijuana - half-time state
40% leading47% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.67
NecaxaTijuana
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.87
NecaxaTijuana
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
NecaxaTijuana
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.47
NecaxaTijuana
47%Clean sheet before half-time60%
NecaxaTijuana
60%No goal before half-time40%
NecaxaTijuana

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)1.4
NecaxaTijuana
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
NecaxaTijuana
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
NecaxaTijuana
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.6
NecaxaTijuana
7%Clean sheet after half-time47%
NecaxaTijuana
60%No goal after half-time47%
NecaxaTijuana

Necaxa - second-half results

13% W20% D67% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tijuana - second-half results

33% W40% D27% L
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Necaxa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tijuana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Necaxa
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
1
4
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tijuana
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Necaxa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Tijuana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

NecaxaLigaTijuana
Average goals in match• 2.933.03• 3.07
Both teams scored▲ 73%62%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 53%54%• 53%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%70%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%85%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Necaxa 1 - 0 - 1 Tijuana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Club Necaxa
3 : 0
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente
3 : 0
Club Necaxa

FAQ

When do Necaxa and Tijuana play?

Necaxa face Tijuana on 7 November 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Tijuana?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 1, Tijuana won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Tijuana?

Necaxa score 1.07 goals per game on average and Tijuana 1.67. The Liga MX average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Necaxa's matches and 67% of Tijuana's.

What form are Necaxa and Tijuana in?

Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Tijuana 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Tijuana?

The statistical background for Necaxa vs Tijuana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.