Neftchi vs Buxoro: match statistics
Neftchi vs Buxoro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi play Buxoro in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 16 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Buxoro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.46 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. Buxoro scores 1.31 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 31%, Buxoro 54%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 69%, Buxoro 38%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.36. Neftchi: 16.2 shots per match, Buxoro: 11.4.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.31. Buxoro: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (8 goals). Buxoro: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
The favorite is Neftchi: at home they average 2.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, with an 83% home win rate and a +12 goal difference. Buxoro away averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1.4, with a lower shooting conversion of 10% and 4.2 shots on target per match, whereas Neftchi posts 16% conversion and 5.17 shots on target. The quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Neftchi’s home xG is 1.75 versus Buxoro’s away xG of 1.36, while xG against is 0.91 versus 1.53, indicating a home advantage in chance creation and suppression. In the last 5 matches Neftchi scored 16 goals (3 wins, 2 draws) averaging 2.2 points per game, while Buxoro has 6 goals and a 3W/1D/1L record (2.0 points per game); so despite the visitors’ decent form, offensive and defensive superiority lies with Neftchi. Therefore I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.8 pts / match - Buxoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
2.46 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.31 goals / match - Buxoro
Neftchi is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.38 goals / match - Neftchi · 1 goals / match - Buxoro
Neftchi scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Buxoro scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Neftchi
Over / Under — Buxoro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.69 pts / match - Buxoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 85%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Buxoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Neftchi 1 - 1 - 0 Buxoro. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Buxoro?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 2:1 Buxoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Buxoro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1, Buxoro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Buxoro?
Neftchi score 2.46 goals per game on average and Buxoro 1.31. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Neftchi's matches and 54% of Buxoro's.
What form are Neftchi and Buxoro in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Buxoro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Buxoro?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Buxoro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.