Neftchi vs Kokand-1912: match statistics
Neftchi vs Kokand-1912: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi played Kokand-1912 in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 29 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Neftchi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kokand-1912: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Kokand-1912 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 22%, Kokand-1912 67%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 67%, Kokand-1912 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.19. Neftchi: 15.3 shots per match, Kokand-1912: 9.7.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.22. Kokand-1912: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (5 goals). Kokand-1912: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Neftchi — as league leaders (position 1) they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss this season with a goal difference of 21-3, while Kokand-1912 sit 13th with 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses and a 9-11 record. Neftchi have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches and won 4 of them, averaging 2.4 points per match over that span, whereas Kokand have 6 goals in their last 5 with 0 wins and an average of 0.8 points per match. At home the hosts generate more chances: 13.8 average shots and 4.2 on target per match with a 16% conversion rate, compared to visitors’ 11 shots, 4.0 on target and 9% conversion away, which indicates a clear advantage in attacking quality and efficiency. Defensively Neftchi also dominate — 0.6 goals conceded per home match with xG against 0.95, versus Kokand’s 1.4 goals conceded away and xG against 1.25; additionally 40% clean sheets for the hosts vs 20% for the visitors confirms the defensive edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal metrics suggest a tilt toward BTTS: Neftchi had BTTS in 75% of matches, Kokand in 60%, and the league average is 53%, implying a historical signal for BTTS around ~68%. However, in the last 5 matches Neftchi produced BTTS in only 20% of cases, conceded a total of 2 goals in five games (0.4 per match) and has recent xG_for 1.74 versus xG_against 0.87, indicating a significant defensive improvement. Kokand in the last 5 shows the opposite picture: 80% BTTS, 6 goals scored (1.2 per match) and 7 conceded (1.4 per match). Seasonally they generate more chances (avg. 11 shots and 4 on target, xG 1.34) but with lower conversion at 9%. The confrontation of these signals creates a conflict: seasonal numbers favor BTTS, but Neftchi’s current form (only 0.4 conceded across 5 matches) and their higher conversion rate 13% reduce the likelihood that Kokand will score. Considering the weight of the last five matches and the difference in goals conceded, I assess BTTS probability at 40% versus 60% for No BTTS and recommend the No (No Goal / clean sheet expected) option as more statistically justified.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on the last 5 matches and current xG gives 1.45 xG for Neftchi and 1.04 xG for Kokand, totaling 2.49 expected goals. Neftchi scored an average of 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches (9 goals in 5), Kokand 1.2 goals (6 in 5), which together yields an average of 3.0 goals in recent form. Season-long metrics confirm a goal-prone tendency: Over 1.5 occurred in 75% of Neftchi’s matches and 60% of Kokand’s, and both teams scored in 75% and 60% of matches respectively, further supporting at least two goals in the game. Under a Poisson distribution with a combined expectation of 2.49, the probability of over 1.5 is about 71%, while over 2.5 is ~45% and over 3.5 ~24%, so the strongest signal is over 1.5. Therefore I recommend the over side at the 1.5 line as the most reliable option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis favors the 1/1 scenario (Neftchi leads at the break and wins). Neftchi has won 4 of its last 5 matches (80%) and led at half-time in 3 of 5 (60%), averaging 1.0 goals scored by half-time and 0.4 conceded, whereas Kokand has not won in its last 5 matches (0%) and has led at the break 0 times, averaging 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. Seasonally, the home side averages 1.25 points per home game and 1.0 goal per home match, while the visitors average 0.6 points per match and concede 1.4 goals per game, indicating a weaker Kokand defense. Although Kokand generates a higher xG (1.34 vs 1.01) and more shots (11 vs 8), Neftchi is more efficient (shot conversion 13% vs 9%) and averages 2.4 points over the last 5 matches versus 0.8 for the visitors; therefore I assign a 45% probability to 1/1 as the most likely Half‑Time/Full‑Time outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Kokand-1912 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Neftchi · 0.8 pts / match - Kokand-1912
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Neftchi · 1 goals / match - Kokand-1912
Neftchi is 270% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.22 goals / match - Kokand-1912
Neftchi scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Kokand-1912 keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Kokand-1912 scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Kokand-1912
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 231% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.22 pts / match - Neftchi · 0.67 pts / match - Kokand-1912
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kokand-1912 - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Kokand-1912
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Kokand-1912 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Neftchi 1 - 1 - 0 Kokand-1912. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 4:0 Kokand-1912. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Kokand-1912?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1, Kokand-1912 won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
Neftchi score 2.33 goals per game on average and Kokand-1912 1.00. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Neftchi's matches and 67% of Kokand-1912's.
What form are Neftchi and Kokand-1912 in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kokand-1912 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.