Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Neftchi are showcasing impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches) and no goals conceded at home, confirming their defensive solidity. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (59%) and generate a high xG (1.95), indicating the quality of chances created. Lokomotiv, despite a solid away form (100% win rate), have played only one match on the road so far, which limits the reliability of their statistics. The difference in average shots (18 vs 11) and Neftchi's higher chance conversion rate favor the hosts. Considering Neftchi's superior form over the last 5 matches (2.4 PTS/match vs 1.6 PTS/match) and their unbeaten record at home, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Lokomotiv could put up a fight, hence a draw is a non-negligible probability.
Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi play Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.46 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 31%, Lokomotiv 62%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 69%, Lokomotiv 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.69. Neftchi: 16.2 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 13.8.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.31. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (8 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Neftchi are showcasing impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches) and no goals conceded at home, confirming their defensive solidity. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (59%) and generate a high xG (1.95), indicating the quality of chances created. Lokomotiv, despite a solid away form (100% win rate), have played only one match on the road so far, which limits the reliability of their statistics. The difference in average shots (18 vs 11) and Neftchi's higher chance conversion rate favor the hosts. Considering Neftchi's superior form over the last 5 matches (2.4 PTS/match vs 1.6 PTS/match) and their unbeaten record at home, I predict a victory for the hosts, although Lokomotiv could put up a fight, hence a draw is a non-negligible probability.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
2.46 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Neftchi is 263% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.38 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Neftchi scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Lokomotiv scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Neftchi
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.38 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 85%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 53% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 3:1 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
Neftchi score 2.46 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.38. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Neftchi's matches and 62% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Neftchi and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.