Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: match statistics
Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi played Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Neftchi: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Pakhtakor: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 3.20 and concedes 0.20 goals per match. Pakhtakor scores 2.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 20%, Pakhtakor 60%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 100%, Pakhtakor 60%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.65. Neftchi: 15.2 shots per match, Pakhtakor: 14.0.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.80. Pakhtakor: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (5 goals). Pakhtakor: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi is the clear favorite: at home they have a perfect record (5/5), scored 16 goals this season with 14 of them in the last 5 matches, while conceding only 1 goal in that span. Hosts average 3.0 goals per home game and concede just 0.33 goals per home match, whereas Pakhtakor away averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match and has shipped 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures. Neftchi has higher home xG (xG 1.70) versus the visitors' away xG (1.49), also registering more shots (15 vs 13) and more shots on target (5.33 vs 5.0), indicating superior chance creation. The hosts' defensive solidity is underlined by 67% of home games with a clean sheet compared to 0% clean sheets for Pakhtakor away, and Neftchi have conceded only 1 goal this season, which greatly reduces the visitors' prospects. With 3 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Pakhtakor's 1.8 and an edge in xG and defense, I predict a home win; a draw or away victory are less likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Pakhtakor averages 3.0 goals per match and has a season BTTS rate of 100%, while Neftchi at home scores 1.67 and concedes 1.0 per match, seasonally indicating both sides are likely to score. xG highlights parity in chances: Neftchi has xG_for 1.77 versus Pakhtakor’s xG_against 1.27, and Pakhtakor has xG_for 1.49 versus Neftchi’s xG_against 1.12, meaning both teams generate genuine goalscoring opportunities. Additionally, Pakhtakor’s shot conversion is 23% compared to Neftchi’s 11% and they have recorded no clean sheets away (0% clean sheets), whereas Neftchi in the last 5 matches averages 2.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, showing good home form but not negating the BTTS case. Considering Pakhtakor’s 100% BTTS, seasonal goal averages 3.0 vs 1.67, xG above 1 for both and higher 23% conversion, I project BTTS = Yes at around 80% (BTTS = No 20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.52 xG for Neftchi (averaging attack xG 1.77 and xG conceded to Pakhtakor 1.27) and 1.30 xG for Pakhtakor (attack xG 1.49 and xG conceded to Neftchi 1.12), totaling 2.82 expected goals. Both teams have a season rate of matches over 1.5 goals equal to 100% (home 100%, away 100%), therefore Over 1.5 is the strongest and most reliable signal. Over 2.5 also has solid grounds: in the last 5 matches Neftchi had 80% of games over 2.5, Pakhtakor 60%, and the combined xG 2.82 supports a probability above 50% (I estimate 68% for Over 2.5). Over 3.5 is less likely since the expected 2.82 goals is clearly below 3.5, and season Over3.5 is only 33% for the home team and 50% for the away team (hence an assessment of ~28%). Additionally, Pakhtakor’s high conversion rate of 23% with an average of 13 shots, together with Neftchi’s 14.67 shots and 5.67 shots on target, confirm both teams’ ability to score, which reinforces Over 1.5 as the recommended pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Neftchi held a lead at the break in 4 of them (80%), scoring an average of 1.2 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.2. Pakhtakor, away from home, scores an average of 3.0 goals per match and has a 100% away win rate, with a shot conversion rate of 23% compared to the hosts' 11%. Crucially, Pakhtakor averages 2.5 goals after the break and has 4 goals in the 46–60 minute interval, whereas Neftchi concedes an average of 1.0 goal in the second half. Therefore the strongest signal is Neftchi leading at half-time with a subsequent turnaround by Pakhtakor and an away win (scenario 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 25% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Neftchi · 2.4 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
3.2 goals / match - Neftchi · 2.2 goals / match - Pakhtakor
Neftchi is 500% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.2 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.2 goals / match - Pakhtakor
Neftchi scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Pakhtakor scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.4 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Pakhtakor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.43 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 80% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Neftchi 0 - 0 - 2 Pakhtakor. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 0:1 Pakhtakor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Pakhtakor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 0, Pakhtakor won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
Neftchi score 3.20 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 2.20. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Neftchi's matches and 60% of Pakhtakor's.
What form are Neftchi and Pakhtakor in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Pakhtakor 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Pakhtakor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.