Neftchi vs Qizilqum: match statistics
Neftchi vs Qizilqum: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi played Qizilqum in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Neftchi: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Qizilqum: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.20 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Qizilqum scores 0.87 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 33%, Qizilqum 33%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 60%, Qizilqum 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.15. Neftchi: 15.4 shots per match, Qizilqum: 8.7.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.20. Qizilqum: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (8 goals). Qizilqum: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi top the home table and have won 11 of their 15 matches this season, while Qizilqum sit 12th, having suffered 8 defeats in 15 games. At home, the hosts average 2.25 goals with an xG of 1.81, whereas the visitors score just 0.57 goals per away match and have failed to find the net in 57% of such fixtures. Neftchi’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: they average 15.88 shots and 5.38 shots on target per game, compared with Qizilqum’s 8.57 attempts and 2.86 on target. The hosts concede just 0.63 goals per match at home, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.55. Neftchi are unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 14 goals in that run, which further strengthens the prediction of a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Qizilqum’s poor scoring efficiency throughout the season: the visitors average just 0.57 goals per match and failed to score in 57% of their games. Their season rate of matches with both teams scoring is only 14%, well below Neftchi’s 50% and the league average of 56%. Neftchi does concede an average of 1.50 goals, while its defensive xG against stands at 1.31, but Qizilqum averages only 2.86 shots on target and has a 7% conversion rate, limiting the visitors’ chances of breaking through. The last five matches point in the opposite direction, with BTTS occurring in 80% of Neftchi’s games and 60% of Qizilqum’s, while both teams scored 2.8 and 1.8 goals per match respectively. Despite this improvement in recent form, Qizilqum’s long-term inability to score consistently makes the outcome in which at least one team fails to score slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Neftchi are in clearly better attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches with an xG of 1.90. Over the same period, Qizilqum averaged 1.8 goals per game, while both teams had at least three goals in 60% of their matches. The hosts create solid conditions for scoring, as their season average of 1.21 xG compares with 1.55 xG conceded by the visitors, with the latest data from both sides further increasing this projection. Caution around higher lines is warranted due to Qizilqum’s season profile, with 100% of their matches finishing Under 2.5 goals and the team failing to score in 57% of appearances. Nevertheless, the combination of Neftchi’s current form and chance quality gives a strong betting edge to Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Neftchi victory at full-time, as Qizilqum were level at the break in 71% of their matches this season and in 50% of their last five. The visitors score only 0.29 goals per match before half-time and failed to score in 71% of those periods, which points to a cautious start. Neftchi are clearly stronger in terms of current form: across their last five matches, they averaged 2.8 goals, recorded 2.2 points per game and remained unbeaten. The hosts also have greater attacking potential over the season as a whole, with an average xG of 1.21 compared with their opponents’ 1.09, while Qizilqum allow opponents an xG of 1.55. After the break, Neftchi averaged 1.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded in their last five appearances, so they should edge this evenly matched game in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Neftchi · 0.8 pts / match - Qizilqum
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 153% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Neftchi · 0.87 goals / match - Qizilqum
Neftchi is 217% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.27 goals / match - Qizilqum
Neftchi scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Qizilqum scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 60% (9 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Qizilqum
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.07 pts / match - Qizilqum
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Qizilqum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Qizilqum
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Neftchi 2 - 1 - 0 Qizilqum. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 5:0 Qizilqum. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Qizilqum?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 2, Qizilqum won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Neftchi score 2.20 goals per game on average and Qizilqum 0.87. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Neftchi's matches and 33% of Qizilqum's.
What form are Neftchi and Qizilqum in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Qizilqum 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Qizilqum — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.