Neftçi vs Qabala: match statistics
Neftçi presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, with a goal difference of +2 and only 22% losses on their own turf. The hosts record an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, and their xG (1.76) exceeds xGA (0.89), confirming offensive and defensive solidity. Qabala, meanwhile, has abysmal away form – 67% losses, a negative goal difference (-3), only 11% wins, and 56% of matches without scoring a goal away. The visitors' average xG away (1.03) is significantly lower than xGA (1.48), indicating problems in both attack and defense. Taking all these factors into account, Neftçi has a clear advantage, although their high percentage of home draws (67%) suggests caution when predicting a certain victory.
Neftçi vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftçi played Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Neftçi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Qabala: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftçi scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Qabala scores 1.06 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftçi 39%, Qabala 41%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 39%, Qabala 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.14. Neftçi: 12.4 shots per match, Qabala: 9.5.
Match halves
Neftçi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89. Qabala: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Neftçi: 76-90+ (9 goals). Qabala: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, with a goal difference of +2 and only 22% losses on their own turf. The hosts record an average of 1.33 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, and their xG (1.76) exceeds xGA (0.89), confirming offensive and defensive solidity. Qabala, meanwhile, has abysmal away form – 67% losses, a negative goal difference (-3), only 11% wins, and 56% of matches without scoring a goal away. The visitors' average xG away (1.03) is significantly lower than xGA (1.48), indicating problems in both attack and defense. Taking all these factors into account, Neftçi has a clear advantage, although their high percentage of home draws (67%) suggests caution when predicting a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qabala is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.8 pts / match - Qabala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.06 goals / match - Qabala
Neftçi is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.35 goals / match - Qabala
Neftçi scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Qabala scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftçi
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Neftçi 1 - 0 - 0 Qabala. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftçi vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 1:0 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Qabala?
Neftçi score 1.33 goals per game on average and Qabala 1.06. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Neftçi's matches and 41% of Qabala's.
What form are Neftçi and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Qabala 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Qabala?
The statistical background for Neftçi vs Qabala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.