Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıBakcell ArenaData current as of 17 October 2026

Neftçi vs Sabah: match statistics

Neftçi crest
Neftçi
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Sabah crest
Sabah

Neftçi vs Sabah: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi played Sabah in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Neftçi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sabah: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 3.00 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Sabah scores 2.80 and concedes 0.20. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 50%, Sabah 20%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 83%, Sabah 60%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Sabah has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.91. Neftçi: 15.2 shots per match, Sabah: 15.2.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33. Sabah: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.40.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 76-90+ (5 goals). Sabah: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Neftçi have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals in the process. They have also won both of their home games so far, averaging 4.5 goals per match. At home, the hosts average 9 shots on target, with an xG of 2.35, indicating that they consistently create dangerous chances. Sabah have also won both of their away matches, keeping clean sheets in both and averaging 2 goals, so their defence will pose a stern test for the hosts. The quality of chances created by the two teams is similar — Sabah’s away xG stands at 2.32 — but Neftçi have a higher shot conversion rate at home: 22% compared with 11% for the visitors away. This edge in finishing tips the prediction slightly in Neftçi’s favour, although Sabah’s defensive record means a draw or an away win remain realistic outcomes.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is Sabah’s defense: it has yet to concede away from home and has kept a clean sheet in 100% of its matches, although Neftçi score an impressive average of 3.33 goals at home. The hosts are also defending effectively, conceding an average of 0.33 goals at home and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their matches. Both teams scored in 33% of Neftçi’s home matches and 0% of Sabah’s away matches; across each team’s last five games, those figures were 40% and 20%, respectively. The attacking potential of both sides, reflected in average xG of 1.75 for the hosts and 2.32 for the visitors, is a risk to this pick. However, results so far more often suggest that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Neftçi average 3.33 goals scored at home, while Sabah average 2.00 away; both teams have scored in every match included in these statistics. Over their last five games, they have scored 3.0 and 2.4 goals per match, respectively, and at least 3 goals have been scored in 80% of each team’s matches. However, their defensive records warrant caution on higher goal lines: Neftçi concede an average of 0.33 goals at home, while Sabah have yet to concede away. Even so, average attacking xG stands at 1.75 for the hosts and 2.32 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of around 2.90 total goals. Over 1.5 is therefore the strongest pick: it requires just two goals and is better supported by the data than Over 2.5, where the teams’ solid defences increase the risk.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is Neftçi leading at the break in 2 of 3 home matches, while averaging 1.67 goals scored in the first half; Sabah led at half-time in 1 of 2 away fixtures. The hosts average 3.33 goals per match at home, compared with the visitors’ 2.00 away, and score an average of 1.67 goals in the second half, which supports them holding on to a lead. Both teams have won 4 of their last 5 matches, but Neftçi averaged 3.0 goals against Sabah’s 2.4. However, the 1/1 pick is not a certainty: Sabah have yet to concede away from home, and their average xG is 2.32 compared with the hosts’ 1.75, so a half-time draw or an away win remain realistic scenarios. Given the limited samples of just 3 home matches and 2 away matches, Neftçi’s results advantage justifies the 1/1 pick, but with moderate confidence.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
NeftçiSabah
13Shots11
NeftçiSabah
5Shots on target4
NeftçiSabah
1.49xG1.35
NeftçiSabah
4Corners3
NeftçiSabah
44Dangerous attacks51
NeftçiSabah
17Fouls21
NeftçiSabah
2Cards3
NeftçiSabah

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

3Goals scored / match2.8
NeftçiSabah
0.83Goals conceded / match0.2
NeftçiSabah
54%Average possession60%
NeftçiSabah
6.5Shots on target / match6.6
NeftçiSabah

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.17Shots per match15.2
NeftçiSabah
6.5Shots on target6.6
NeftçiSabah
19.8%Shot conversion18.4%
NeftçiSabah
54%Possession60%
NeftçiSabah
1.91xG for1.98
NeftçiSabah
1.16xG against1.03
NeftçiSabah

Shooting quality

Neftçi: AttackingSabah: Dominant
NeftçiSabah
Accuracy (shots on target)43%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sabah is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Neftçi · 3 pts / match - Sabah

Neftçi
WLWWW
Season result split
83% W0% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-1
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Sabah
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

3 goals / match - Neftçi · 2.8 goals / match - Sabah

Sabah is 315% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.2 goals / match - Sabah

Neftçi scoring profile: mixed

Neftçi scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Sabah keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).

Sabah scoring profile: very strong

Sabah scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

18Goals scored (season)14
NeftçiSabah
5Goals conceded (season)1
NeftçiSabah
3.83Average goals in match3
NeftçiSabah
15Goals scored (last 5)14
NeftçiSabah
4Goals conceded (last 5)1
NeftçiSabah

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
NeftçiSabah
83%2 goals80%
NeftçiSabah
83%3 goals60%
NeftçiSabah
33%4 goals20%
NeftçiSabah

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal20%
NeftçiSabah
17%2 goals0%
NeftçiSabah
0%3 goals0%
NeftçiSabah
0%4 goals0%
NeftçiSabah

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time0%
NeftçiSabah
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftçiSabah
83%Scored in both halves60%
NeftçiSabah

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
NeftçiSabah
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS40%
NeftçiSabah
40%BTTS - last 520%
NeftçiSabah

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
NeftçiSabah
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
NeftçiSabah
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
NeftçiSabah

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
NeftçiSabah
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
NeftçiSabah
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NeftçiSabah

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing
Sabah - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per match (1st half)2.2
NeftçiSabah
1.67Goals scored (1st half)1.4
NeftçiSabah
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
NeftçiSabah
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.4
NeftçiSabah
67%Clean sheet before half-time100%
NeftçiSabah
17%No goal before half-time40%
NeftçiSabah

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)2.6
NeftçiSabah
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.4
NeftçiSabah
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
NeftçiSabah
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.6
NeftçiSabah
67%Clean sheet after half-time80%
NeftçiSabah
17%No goal after half-time0%
NeftçiSabah

Neftçi - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
13
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sabah - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Sabah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+7+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Sabah
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
137%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
205%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Sabah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
272%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
14%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaSabah
Average goals in match▲ 3.832.49▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%43%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%46%▲ 60%
Clean sheets• 33%33%▲ 80%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%66%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%80%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SabahYellow cardEduardo Santos Queiroz
  2. SabahYellow cardVeljko Simić
  3. NeftçiYellow cardFalaye Sacko
  4. SabahSubstitutionOn: Patrick Orphe MbinaOff: Veljko Simić
  5. NeftçiYellow cardĽubomír Tupta
  6. SabahYellow cardAiden McCarthy

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Neftçi 1 - 1 - 1 Sabah. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Neftçi vs Sabah?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 0:0 Sabah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Sabah?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 1, Sabah won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Sabah?

Neftçi score 3.00 goals per game on average and Sabah 2.80. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Neftçi's matches and 20% of Sabah's.

What form are Neftçi and Sabah in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sabah 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Sabah?

The statistical background for Neftçi vs Sabah — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.