Neftçi vs Safa: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Neftçi vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftçi play Safa in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 4 September 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena.
Current form
Neftçi: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Safa: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftçi scores 4.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Safa scores 0.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftçi 50%, Safa 0%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 100%, Safa 0%. League level: BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.86 vs 0.82. Neftçi: 14.5 shots per match, Safa: 6.3.
Match halves
Neftçi: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00. Safa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Neftçi: 31-45+ (3 goals). Safa: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftçi | Safa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Neftçi · 1 pts / match - Safa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 1112% better for: goals scored per match.
4 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.33 goals / match - Safa
Neftçi is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Neftçi · 1 goals / match - Safa
Neftçi scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Safa scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftçi
Over / Under - Safa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 348% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Neftçi · 0.67 pts / match - Safa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Safa - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftçi
Safa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Neftçi | Liga | Safa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.50 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Neftçi and Safa play?
Neftçi face Safa on 4 September 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Bakcell Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Safa?
Neftçi score 4.00 goals per game on average and Safa 0.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Neftçi's matches and 0% of Safa's.
What form are Neftçi and Safa in?
Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Safa 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Safa?
The statistical background for Neftçi vs Safa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


