Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıBakcell ArenaData current as of 04 September 2026

Neftçi vs Safa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Neftçi vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi play Safa in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena.

Current form

Neftçi: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Safa: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 2.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Safa scores 0.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 33%, Safa 0%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 67%, Safa 0%. League level: BTTS 19%, Over 2.5 25%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.64 vs 0.91. Neftçi: 12.0 shots per match, Safa: 7.3.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Safa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 31-45+ (3 goals). Safa: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 19%, Over 2.5 25%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.67Goals scored / match0.33
NeftçiSafa
0.67Goals conceded / match1
NeftçiSafa
50%Average possession44%
NeftçiSafa
5Shots on target / match3
NeftçiSafa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match7.33
NeftçiSafa
5Shots on target3
NeftçiSafa
22.2%Shot conversion4.5%
NeftçiSafa
50%Possession44%
NeftçiSafa
1.64xG for0.91
NeftçiSafa
1.31xG against1.51
NeftçiSafa

Shooting quality

Neftçi: Efficient finishingSafa: Balanced
NeftçiSafa
Accuracy (shots on target)42%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.530.11

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftçi is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Neftçi · 1 pts / match - Safa

Neftçi
WWL
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.7Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%
Safa
LWL
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 709% better for: goals scored per match.

2.67 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.33 goals / match - Safa

Neftçi is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Neftçi · 1 goals / match - Safa

Neftçi scoring profile: strong

Neftçi scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Safa scoring profile: mixed

Safa scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

8Goals scored (season)1
NeftçiSafa
2Goals conceded (season)3
NeftçiSafa
3.33Average goals in match1.33
NeftçiSafa
8Goals scored (last 5)1
NeftçiSafa
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
NeftçiSafa

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal33%
NeftçiSafa
67%2 goals0%
NeftçiSafa
67%3 goals0%
NeftçiSafa
33%4 goals0%
NeftçiSafa

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
NeftçiSafa
0%2 goals33%
NeftçiSafa
0%3 goals0%
NeftçiSafa
0%4 goals0%
NeftçiSafa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
NeftçiSafa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftçiSafa
67%Scored in both halves0%
NeftçiSafa

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
NeftçiSafa
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NeftçiSafa
33%BTTS - last 50%
NeftçiSafa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
NeftçiSafa
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
NeftçiSafa
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NeftçiSafa

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
NeftçiSafa
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
NeftçiSafa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NeftçiSafa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Neftçi · 0.67 pts / match - Safa

Neftçi - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing
Safa - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.67
NeftçiSafa
2Goals scored (1st half)0
NeftçiSafa
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
NeftçiSafa
2.33Average goals (1st half)0.33
NeftçiSafa
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
NeftçiSafa
33%No goal before half-time100%
NeftçiSafa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
NeftçiSafa
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
NeftçiSafa
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
NeftçiSafa
1Average goals (2nd half)1
NeftçiSafa
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
NeftçiSafa
33%No goal after half-time67%
NeftçiSafa

Neftçi - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
6
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Safa - second-half results

33% W0% R67% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.67
Goals scored / match2.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match2.31.0
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.671.00
Goals scored / match0.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.7
Average goals in match0.31.0
1 goal33%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Safa
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
133%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
224%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaSafa
Average goals in match 3.331.75 1.33
Both teams scored 33%19% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%25% 0%
Clean sheets 33%50% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%50% 33%
Goal after half-time 67%63% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per match
19%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
50%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.56
Away goals / match
+112%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Neftçi and Safa play?

Neftçi face Safa on 5 September 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Bakcell Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Safa?

Neftçi score 2.67 goals per game on average and Safa 0.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Neftçi's matches and 0% of Safa's.

What form are Neftçi and Safa in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Safa 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Safa?

The statistical background for Neftçi vs Safa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.