Neftçi vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi played Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 15 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Neftçi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sumqayıt: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.43 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 36%, Sumqayıt 43%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 29%, Sumqayıt 43%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.30. Neftçi: 12.0 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 10.0.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.79. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.93.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 76-90+ (6 goals). Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
NeftçiSumqayıt
10Shots9
NeftçiSumqayıt
4Shots on target3
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.5xG1.32
NeftçiSumqayıt
3Corners6
NeftçiSumqayıt
81Dangerous attacks74
NeftçiSumqayıt
19Fouls19
NeftçiSumqayıt
2Cards5
NeftçiSumqayıt

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1.43
NeftçiSumqayıt
1Goals conceded / match1.21
NeftçiSumqayıt
57%Average possession51%
NeftçiSumqayıt
5.14Shots on target / match3.79
NeftçiSumqayıt

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match10
NeftçiSumqayıt
5.14Shots on target3.79
NeftçiSumqayıt
9.5%Shot conversion14.3%
NeftçiSumqayıt
57%Possession51%
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.57xG for1.3
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.16xG against1.32
NeftçiSumqayıt

Shooting quality

Neftçi: BalancedSumqayıt: Efficient finishing
NeftçiSumqayıt
Accuracy (shots on target)43%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sumqayıt is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Neftçi · 2.4 pts / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi
WLLDL
Season result split
21% W50% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-4
1.14 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Sumqayıt
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W14% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-5
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sumqayıt is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.43 goals / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.21 goals / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi scoring profile: mixed

Neftçi scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

Sumqayıt scoring profile: strong

Sumqayıt scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

16Goals scored (season)20
NeftçiSumqayıt
14Goals conceded (season)17
NeftçiSumqayıt
2.14Average goals in match2.64
NeftçiSumqayıt
7Goals scored (last 5)10
NeftçiSumqayıt
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
NeftçiSumqayıt

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal71%
NeftçiSumqayıt
43%2 goals43%
NeftçiSumqayıt
7%3 goals21%
NeftçiSumqayıt
7%4 goals7%
NeftçiSumqayıt

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal71%
NeftçiSumqayıt
36%2 goals29%
NeftçiSumqayıt
7%3 goals14%
NeftçiSumqayıt
0%4 goals7%
NeftçiSumqayıt

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time29%
NeftçiSumqayıt
14%BTTS in both halves14%
NeftçiSumqayıt
21%Scored in both halves21%
NeftçiSumqayıt

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
NeftçiSumqayıt
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
NeftçiSumqayıt
40%BTTS - last 560%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
NeftçiSumqayıt
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
NeftçiSumqayıt
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
NeftçiSumqayıt

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
NeftçiSumqayıt
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
NeftçiSumqayıt
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Neftçi · 0.93 pts / match - Sumqayıt

Neftçi - half-time state
7% leading79% draw14% trailing
Sumqayıt - half-time state
7% leading71% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.93
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.5
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.71Average goals (1st half)1
NeftçiSumqayıt
64%Clean sheet before half-time57%
NeftçiSumqayıt
71%No goal before half-time64%
NeftçiSumqayıt

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1.57
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
NeftçiSumqayıt
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
NeftçiSumqayıt
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.64
NeftçiSumqayıt
57%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NeftçiSumqayıt
57%No goal after half-time43%
NeftçiSumqayıt

Neftçi - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sumqayıt - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding714%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sumqayıt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Sumqayıt
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Sumqayıt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaSumqayıt
Average goals in match 2.142.49 2.64
Both teams scored 36%45% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%46% 43%
Clean sheets 43%32% 29%
Goal before half-time 43%63% 50%
Goal after half-time 57%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NeftçiYellow cardElvin Bədəlov
  2. SumqayıtYellow cardRauf Rustamli
  3. NeftçiGoalImad Faraj
  4. SumqayıtYellow cardSəbuhi Abdullazadə
  5. SumqayıtYellow cardRayan Senhadji
  6. NeftçiGoalBassala Sambou
  7. NeftçiSubstitutionOn: Vincent Paté AboubakarOff: Bassala Sambou
  8. SumqayıtGoalNsana Simon
  9. SumqayıtSubstitutionOn: Hojjat HaghverdiOff: Rayan Senhadji
  10. SumqayıtYellow cardNikola Ninković
  11. SumqayıtYellow cardKhayal Farzullayev

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Neftçi 1 - 0 - 0 Sumqayıt. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FK Sumqayıt
0 : 2
Neftçi PFC Bakı

FAQ

What was the result of Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Neftçi 2:2 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

Neftçi score 1.14 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.43. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Neftçi's matches and 43% of Sumqayıt's.

What form are Neftçi and Sumqayıt in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sumqayıt 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Sumqayıt?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neftçi vs Sumqayıt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.