Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıBakcell ArenaData current as of 20 October 2026

Neftçi vs Turan: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Neftçi vs Turan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi play Turan in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena.

Current form

Neftçi: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Turan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 2.63 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Turan scores 0.88 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 50%, Turan 25%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 75%, Turan 25%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.61. Neftçi: 13.9 shots per match, Turan: 12.8.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13. Turan: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 31-45+ (5 goals). Turan: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.63Goals scored / match0.88
NeftçiTuran
1Goals conceded / match0.63
NeftçiTuran
49%Average possession49%
NeftçiTuran
6.13Shots on target / match4.63
NeftçiTuran

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.88Shots per match12.75
NeftçiTuran
6.13Shots on target4.63
NeftçiTuran
18.9%Shot conversion6.9%
NeftçiTuran
49%Possession49%
NeftçiTuran
1.76xG for1.61
NeftçiTuran
1.37xG against0.89
NeftçiTuran

Shooting quality

Neftçi: Efficient finishingTuran: Balanced
NeftçiTuran
Accuracy (shots on target)44%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftçi is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Neftçi · 2 pts / match - Turan

Neftçi
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W25% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-1
2.13 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Turan
WDWWL
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 199% better for: goals scored per match.

2.63 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.88 goals / match - Turan

Turan is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Neftçi · 0.63 goals / match - Turan

Neftçi scoring profile: strong

Neftçi scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

Turan scoring profile: strong

Turan scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

21Goals scored (season)7
NeftçiTuran
8Goals conceded (season)5
NeftçiTuran
3.63Average goals in match1.5
NeftçiTuran
13Goals scored (last 5)6
NeftçiTuran
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
NeftçiTuran

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal63%
NeftçiTuran
75%2 goals25%
NeftçiTuran
75%3 goals0%
NeftçiTuran
25%4 goals0%
NeftçiTuran

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal50%
NeftçiTuran
25%2 goals13%
NeftçiTuran
13%3 goals0%
NeftçiTuran
0%4 goals0%
NeftçiTuran

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
NeftçiTuran
13%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftçiTuran
75%Scored in both halves13%
NeftçiTuran

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
NeftçiTuran
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NeftçiTuran
60%BTTS - last 540%
NeftçiTuran

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
NeftçiTuran
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
NeftçiTuran
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NeftçiTuran

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
NeftçiTuran
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
NeftçiTuran
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
NeftçiTuran

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.13 pts / match - Neftçi · 1.25 pts / match - Turan

Neftçi - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing
Turan - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.13Points per match (1st half)1.25
NeftçiTuran
1.5Goals scored (1st half)0.38
NeftçiTuran
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
NeftçiTuran
2Average goals (1st half)0.75
NeftçiTuran
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
NeftçiTuran
25%No goal before half-time63%
NeftçiTuran

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per match (2nd half)1.63
NeftçiTuran
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
NeftçiTuran
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
NeftçiTuran
1.63Average goals (2nd half)0.75
NeftçiTuran
63%Clean sheet after half-time75%
NeftçiTuran
25%No goal after half-time63%
NeftçiTuran

Neftçi - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
17
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Turan - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Turan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Turan
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-74%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
184%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Turan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaTuran
Average goals in match▲ 3.632.57▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%46%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▲ 38%32%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%65%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%78%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Neftçi 0 - 1 - 2 Turan. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Neftçi and Turan play?

Neftçi face Turan on 24 October 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Bakcell Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Turan?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 0, Turan won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Turan?

Neftçi score 2.63 goals per game on average and Turan 0.88. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Neftçi's matches and 25% of Turan's.

What form are Neftçi and Turan in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Turan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Turan?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.