Neom SC vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Ahli presents significantly higher form and quality, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive streak of five consecutive victories. The guests have won 71% of away matches with only 14% losses, keeping a clean sheet in 86% of away meetings. Neom SC is in a difficult situation in 9th position, with a negative goal difference (-6) at home and just 25% wins in home matches. The difference in expected goals (xG) is significant – Al Ahli generates 1.69 xG away while conceding only 0.7, whereas Neom has practically even values (1.36 to 1.35). The form of the last five matches clearly favors the guests (3.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), which, combined with Al Ahli's solid defense, makes them the clear favorite for this match.
Neom SC vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neom SC played Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Neom SC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Al Ahli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neom SC scores 1.31 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 1.63 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neom SC 75%, Al Ahli 50%. Over 2.5: Neom SC 63%, Al Ahli 38%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahli has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.29. Neom SC: 12.1 shots per match, Al Ahli: 13.6.
Match halves
Neom SC: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Al Ahli: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Neom SC: 76-90+ (5 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli presents significantly higher form and quality, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive streak of five consecutive victories. The guests have won 71% of away matches with only 14% losses, keeping a clean sheet in 86% of away meetings. Neom SC is in a difficult situation in 9th position, with a negative goal difference (-6) at home and just 25% wins in home matches. The difference in expected goals (xG) is significant – Al Ahli generates 1.69 xG away while conceding only 0.7, whereas Neom has practically even values (1.36 to 1.35). The form of the last five matches clearly favors the guests (3.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), which, combined with Al Ahli's solid defense, makes them the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neom SC | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Neom SC · 3 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Neom SC · 1.63 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Neom SC · 0.75 goals / match - Al Ahli
Neom SC scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Neom SC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neom SC
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neom SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neom SC
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Neom SC | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.88 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Neom SC 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahli. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Neom SC 0:3 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
Neom SC score 1.31 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.63. The Professional League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Neom SC's matches and 50% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Neom SC and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Neom SC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Ahli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neom SC vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.