Bulgaria - Second LeagueGradski stadionData current as of 13 November 2026

Nesebar vs Fratria: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nesebar vs Fratria: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nesebar play Fratria in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 15 November 2026. Venue: Gradski stadion.

Current form

Nesebar: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fratria: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nesebar scores 1.47 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Fratria scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nesebar 53%, Fratria 50%. Over 2.5: Nesebar 47%, Fratria 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Fratria has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.25. Nesebar: 7.8 shots per match, Fratria: 9.6.

Match halves

Nesebar: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80. Fratria: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Nesebar: 0-15 (5 goals). Fratria: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Second League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.21)
(3.48)
(1.96)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.71
NesebarFratria
1.53Goals conceded / match1
NesebarFratria
40%Average possession51%
NesebarFratria
3.87Shots on target / match4.57
NesebarFratria

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.8Shots per match9.57
NesebarFratria
3.87Shots on target4.57
NesebarFratria
18.8%Shot conversion17.9%
NesebarFratria
40%Possession51%
NesebarFratria
1.25xG for1.45
NesebarFratria
1.18xG against1.15
NesebarFratria

Shooting quality

Nesebar: Counter-attackingFratria: Efficient finishing
NesebarFratria
Accuracy (shots on target)50%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fratria is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Nesebar · 1.8 pts / match - Fratria

Nesebar
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W20% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-7
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.61Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fratria
WWLLW
Season result split
50% W29% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-3
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fratria is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Nesebar · 1.71 goals / match - Fratria

Fratria is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Nesebar · 1 goals / match - Fratria

Nesebar scoring profile: strong

Nesebar scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Fratria keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

Fratria scoring profile: very strong

Fratria scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

22Goals scored (season)24
NesebarFratria
23Goals conceded (season)14
NesebarFratria
3Average goals in match2.71
NesebarFratria
2Goals scored (last 5)12
NesebarFratria
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
NesebarFratria

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal86%
NesebarFratria
27%2 goals50%
NesebarFratria
13%3 goals14%
NesebarFratria
13%4 goals7%
NesebarFratria

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
NesebarFratria
47%2 goals36%
NesebarFratria
20%3 goals0%
NesebarFratria
7%4 goals0%
NesebarFratria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time21%
NesebarFratria
0%BTTS in both halves14%
NesebarFratria
13%Scored in both halves21%
NesebarFratria

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
NesebarFratria
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
NesebarFratria
40%BTTS - last 560%
NesebarFratria

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
NesebarFratria
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
NesebarFratria
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
NesebarFratria

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NesebarFratria
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
NesebarFratria
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
NesebarFratria

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Fratria - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.36
NesebarFratria
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.57
NesebarFratria
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
NesebarFratria
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
NesebarFratria
60%Clean sheet before half-time57%
NesebarFratria
53%No goal before half-time57%
NesebarFratria

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.64
NesebarFratria
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
NesebarFratria
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
NesebarFratria
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.71
NesebarFratria
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NesebarFratria
60%No goal after half-time36%
NesebarFratria

Nesebar - second-half results

20% W33% D47% L
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fratria - second-half results

36% W57% D7% L
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nesebar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Fratria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
0
16-30
1
5
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Fratria
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
0
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Fratria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

NesebarLigaFratria
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.80• 2.71
Both teams scored▲ 53%51%• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 47%50%▼ 43%
Clean sheets• 27%28%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%65%• 64%
Goal after half-time• 80%80%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Nesebar and Fratria play?

Nesebar face Fratria on 15 November 2026 in Second League at Gradski stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nesebar vs Fratria?

Nesebar score 1.47 goals per game on average and Fratria 1.71. The Second League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nesebar's matches and 50% of Fratria's.

What form are Nesebar and Fratria in?

Over the last 5 games Nesebar have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fratria 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nesebar vs Fratria?

The statistical background for Nesebar vs Fratria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.