Bulgaria - Second LeagueGradski stadionData current as of 03 September 2026

Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nesebar play Rilski Sportist in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Gradski stadion.

Current form

Nesebar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Rilski Sportist: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nesebar scores 1.86 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Rilski Sportist scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nesebar 43%, Rilski Sportist 57%. Over 2.5: Nesebar 43%, Rilski Sportist 43%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Nesebar has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.59. Nesebar: 12.6 shots per match, Rilski Sportist: 13.3.

Match halves

Nesebar: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Rilski Sportist: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Nesebar: 0-15 (4 goals). Rilski Sportist: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Second League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NesebarRilski Sportist
1.86Goals scored / match1
NesebarRilski Sportist
1.43Goals conceded / match1
NesebarRilski Sportist
39%Average possession52%
NesebarRilski Sportist
5.43Shots on target / match4
NesebarRilski Sportist

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.57Shots per match13.29
NesebarRilski Sportist
5.43Shots on target4
NesebarRilski Sportist
14.8%Shot conversion7.5%
NesebarRilski Sportist
39%Possession52%
NesebarRilski Sportist
1.77xG for1.59
NesebarRilski Sportist
1.42xG against1.68
NesebarRilski Sportist

Shooting quality

Nesebar: Counter-attackingRilski Sportist: Balanced
NesebarRilski Sportist
Accuracy (shots on target)43%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nesebar is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Nesebar · 1.8 pts / match - Rilski Sportist

Nesebar
WWWDL
Season result split
43% W14% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Rilski Sportist
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nesebar is 86% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Nesebar · 1 goals / match - Rilski Sportist

Rilski Sportist is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Nesebar · 1 goals / match - Rilski Sportist

Nesebar scoring profile: very strong

Nesebar scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Rilski Sportist keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Rilski Sportist scoring profile: mixed

Rilski Sportist scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)7
NesebarRilski Sportist
10Goals conceded (season)7
NesebarRilski Sportist
3.29Average goals in match2
NesebarRilski Sportist
11Goals scored (last 5)7
NesebarRilski Sportist
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
NesebarRilski Sportist

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal57%
NesebarRilski Sportist
29%2 goals43%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%3 goals0%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%4 goals0%
NesebarRilski Sportist

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal86%
NesebarRilski Sportist
29%2 goals14%
NesebarRilski Sportist
29%3 goals0%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%4 goals0%
NesebarRilski Sportist

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time29%
NesebarRilski Sportist
0%BTTS in both halves14%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%Scored in both halves43%
NesebarRilski Sportist

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NesebarRilski Sportist
20%BTTS - last 580%
NesebarRilski Sportist

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
NesebarRilski Sportist
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NesebarRilski Sportist

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
NesebarRilski Sportist
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
NesebarRilski Sportist
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NesebarRilski Sportist

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Nesebar · 1 pts / match - Rilski Sportist

Nesebar - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing
Rilski Sportist - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per match (1st half)1
NesebarRilski Sportist
1Goals scored (1st half)0.43
NesebarRilski Sportist
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
NesebarRilski Sportist
1.71Average goals (1st half)1
NesebarRilski Sportist
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
NesebarRilski Sportist
29%No goal before half-time57%
NesebarRilski Sportist

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.43
NesebarRilski Sportist
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
NesebarRilski Sportist
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
NesebarRilski Sportist
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1
NesebarRilski Sportist
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
NesebarRilski Sportist
71%No goal after half-time43%
NesebarRilski Sportist

Nesebar - second-half results

29% W29% R43% P
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rilski Sportist - second-half results

29% W57% R14% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nesebar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Rilski Sportist - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Rilski Sportist
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Rilski Sportist

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

NesebarLigaRilski Sportist
Average goals in match 3.292.60 2.00
Both teams scored 43%47% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%42% 43%
Clean sheets 43%29% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%63% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%77% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Nesebar and Rilski Sportist play?

Nesebar face Rilski Sportist on 6 September 2026 in Second League at Gradski stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?

Nesebar score 1.86 goals per game on average and Rilski Sportist 1.00. The Second League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Nesebar's matches and 57% of Rilski Sportist's.

What form are Nesebar and Rilski Sportist in?

Over the last 5 games Nesebar have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Rilski Sportist 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?

The statistical background for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.