Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neuchâtel Xamax played Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Neuchâtel Xamax: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neuchâtel Xamax scores 1.50 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 1.29 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neuchâtel Xamax 65%, Étoile Carouge 56%. Over 2.5: Neuchâtel Xamax 65%, Étoile Carouge 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Neuchâtel Xamax has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.44. Neuchâtel Xamax: 13.3 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 13.1.
Match halves
Neuchâtel Xamax: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.91. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Neuchâtel Xamax: 76-90+ (15 goals). Étoile Carouge: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neuchâtel Xamax has a clear offensive edge at home: on average 1.65 goals scored and xG 1.65 per match, with 14.24 shots and 5 shots on target, versus Étoile Carouge who average 1.59 goals, xG 1.32, 11.24 shots and 4.29 shots on target away. Form confirms this gap: Xamax scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches and averages 2.0 points per game in that period (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Carouge scored 10 goals and averages 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Defensively both teams concede frequently — the hosts concede 1.35 goals at home on average, and Carouge concedes 1.47 away; in the last 5 matches Xamax conceded 9 goals and the visitors 8, indicating an open game. Key advantages for Xamax are a higher home win rate 47% versus 35% away wins for the visitors, a better home goal difference (+5 vs +2) and a significantly lower share of matches without scoring (Xamax fail to score in 12% of home matches vs 29% of Carouge away matches). Considering the greater volume of chances (xG 1.65 vs 1.32), better points per game in the last 5 (2.0 vs 1.4) and superiority in shots, I forecast a Neuchâtel Xamax win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal and league data favor BTTS: Neuchâtel Xamax has 59% matches with both teams scoring, Étoile Carouge 53%, and the league average is 55%. The signal is stronger in form: in the last 5 matches Xamax had 100% BTTS, Carouge 80%, with Xamax averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and Carouge 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded. xG comparison shows both sides create and concede chances: home xG is 1.55 versus away xG against 1.65, and away xG is 1.32 versus home xG against 1.43, meaning both sit around ~1.3–1.6 expected goals per match. Additionally Xamax have 51 goals for and 54 against this season, Carouge 44 for and 49 against, and both teams record clean sheets in only 24% of matches, which increases the likelihood of mutual goals. Taking into account 59%/53% seasonal BTTS, 100%/80% in the last 5 matches and shot/efficiency stats (14.88 vs 11.24 shots and 7% vs 14% conversion), I project BTTS - Yes at 80% vs 20% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: Neuchâtel Xamax’s attacking xG is 1.55 while Étoile Carouge’s defense concedes 1.65 xG, yielding ~1.60 expected goals for the home side; similarly the visitors’ attacking xG of 1.32 against the home defense’s 1.43 xG gives ~1.38 for the away team, totaling 2.98 expected goals. This produces a very strong signal for Over 1.5 — home sides registered Over 1.5 in 88% of matches, visitors in 76%, and the league averages 3.02 goals per game. Hosts average 14.88 shots with 4.0 on target and a 7% conversion, visitors 11.24 shots with 4.29 on target and a 14% conversion, so the away team is more clinical, but the combined shot volume and xG support a ~3-goal probability. The 2.5 line also looks favorable (I estimate ~64% for Over) because seasonally Over 2.5 is 47% for homes and 65% for aways, and in the last 5 matches homes had 100% Over 2.5 while visitors had 60%. Over 3.5 appears less likely (~32%) — seasonal Over 3.5 is only 18% for homes and 35% for aways, and the projected 2.98 goals is below 3.5, therefore I recommend playing Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 47% of matches and the away side in 65%, averaging roughly a 56% chance of an HT draw. After the break the advantage shifts to the visitors — they score on average 0.88 goals in the second half versus 0.53 for the hosts, and 94% of the away team’s matches feature more than 0.5 goals in the second half, suggesting HT draws often turn into a turnaround in their favour. Additionally, the away side score 8 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 3 for the hosts and have a better shot conversion rate (14% vs 7% for the home team); season goal averages are 1.59 (away) vs 1.00 (home), so they win full-time more frequently. Although xG favours the home team (xG 1.55 vs 1.32), the hosts’ lower conversion and the visitors’ stronger second half shift the edge toward an HT draw and an away win FT; therefore I rate X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neuchâtel Xamax is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.4 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neuchâtel Xamax is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.29 goals / match - Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.44 goals / match - Étoile Carouge
Neuchâtel Xamax scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Étoile Carouge scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Neuchâtel Xamax keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neuchâtel Xamax
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Étoile Carouge is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.18 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neuchâtel Xamax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neuchâtel Xamax
Étoile Carouge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Liga | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.09 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Neuchâtel Xamax 3 - 0 - 0 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
The Challenge League match finished Neuchâtel Xamax 3:0 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neuchâtel Xamax and Étoile Carouge?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neuchâtel Xamax won 3, Étoile Carouge won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
Neuchâtel Xamax score 1.50 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.29. The Challenge League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Neuchâtel Xamax's matches and 56% of Étoile Carouge's.
What form are Neuchâtel Xamax and Étoile Carouge in?
Over the last 5 games Neuchâtel Xamax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.