Neuchâtel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: match statistics

Neuchâtel Xamax have won all of their matches at home so far, scoring an average of 3 goals per game, which gives them a clear home advantage. However, the hosts are vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals at their own stadium and keeping no clean sheets. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy create slightly more high-quality chances away from home, with an average xG of 1.89 compared with Xamax’s 1.71, and also register 7 shots on target per match compared with their opponents’ 5. On the other hand, the visitors drew their only away match to date, scoring just 1 goal on average, while Xamax have a shot conversion rate of 19% compared with the opponents’ 7%. Both teams have collected 10 points in their last five matches, but the hosts’ superior finishing and home record point towards a narrow victory for Xamax.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have very strong attacking foundations: they have scored an average of 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.77, while their season-long average xG stands at 1.89. Neuchâtel Xamax have kept a clean sheet in all of their home matches so far, but their last 5 games reveal a clear increase in defensive vulnerability, with an xG against of 1.89 and an average of 1.0 goals conceded. The hosts should respond with a goal, as they score an average of 2.0 goals at home, create 2.14 xG and register 6 shots on target per match. BTTS landed in 60% of Xamax's and 40% of Lausanne-Ouchy's last five appearances, while the current form of both attacks provides a slightly stronger signal for goals at both ends. The “Yes” pick is nevertheless moderate, as the hosts' excellent season-long defensive record could once again limit the opponents' attacking efficiency.

Both teams regularly create chances: Neuchâtel Xamax’s average xG is 2.14, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy’s stands at 1.89, with 23 and 15 shots per match, respectively. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals, while the visitors recorded as many as 2.6, with both sides conceding 1.0 goal per game. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 100% of the matches played by both teams so far, while the data for Over 2.5 goals is less conclusive: the figures from their last five matches are 60% and 40%, respectively. Xamax has kept a clean sheet in its matches at home so far, but Lausanne-Ouchy has scored in every appearance and averages 7 shots on target per match. Over 1.5 goals therefore has the strongest support, both in terms of the quality of chances created and the consistent history of at least two goals.

Neuchâtel Xamax have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding none, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have drawn on the road, scoring and conceding 1.0 goal per match. The hosts were leading at the break in 2 of their 2 home fixtures, whereas the visitors were trailing 0–1 at half-time in their only away match. Xamax’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: the hosts average 23 shots per match with an xG of 2.14, compared with 15 shots and an xG of 1.89 for their opponents. The teams’ last-five-match form is more evenly matched, as both have won 60% of their games, although Xamax average 1.0 goal before the break compared with 0.5 for Lausanne-Ouchy. A scenario in which the hosts lead at half-time and go on to secure victory is therefore most strongly supported by Xamax’s home results, defensive solidity and the visitors’ poor starts away from home.