Neuchâtel Xamax vs Vaduz: match statistics
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Vaduz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neuchâtel Xamax played Vaduz in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Neuchâtel Xamax: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vaduz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neuchâtel Xamax scores 1.33 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Vaduz scores 2.04 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neuchâtel Xamax 56%, Vaduz 52%. Over 2.5: Neuchâtel Xamax 56%, Vaduz 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Vaduz has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.56. Neuchâtel Xamax: 13.5 shots per match, Vaduz: 13.8.
Match halves
Neuchâtel Xamax: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Vaduz: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Neuchâtel Xamax: 76-90+ (9 goals). Vaduz: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vaduz are the favorites: they have 19 wins this season versus 10 for Neuchâtel Xamax and a far superior goal difference 55–28 (+27) compared to 36–37 (-1). In the last 5 matches the visitors recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (an average of 2 points per match), while the hosts have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1 point per match) and scored only 3 goals in that period. Vaduz’s away defence is solid — 46% of away matches ended with a clean sheet and they concede an average of 1.08 goals on the road, whereas Xamax have 23% clean sheets at home and concede 1.15 on average. Offensively Xamax create more chances at home (14.92 shots, 5.46 on target and xG 1.74) but convert them worse (10%) than Vaduz away (12.31 shots, 4.85 on target, xG 1.52 and 12% conversion), which favors the visitors. Considering 19 wins, a +27 goal difference, higher clean sheet rate and superior shooting efficiency, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data are mixed: Neuchâtel Xamax averages 2.57 goals at home with xG 1.87 and a season BTTS of 64%, while Vaduz away records 1.46 goals, xG 1.52 and a season BTTS of 38%, yielding a paired average around 51% and close to the league BTTS of 52%. However, the strongest signal is the last 5 matches — both teams produced BTTS in only 20% of their last five games, and average goals in those fixtures are 0.6 (home) and 0.8 (away), which materially reduces the expectation for Goal/Goal. Additionally the league has a high clean sheet rate of 56%, and the home and away sides have kept a clean sheet in 36% and 46% of season matches respectively, increasing the probability of No Goal. The argument for BTTS - Yes rests on xG and the home attack strength (6.57 shots on target and 17% conversion versus 4.85 and 12% for Vaduz), so both sides have scoring potential, but that signal is weaker than recent form. Weighting form (last 5 matches) more heavily and accounting for the high clean sheet rate, I assign 60% to 'no' and 40% to 'yes' and recommend 'no' as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total xG of 2.95 goals: 1.60 for Neuchâtel Xamax (attacking xG 1.87 vs opponent xG conceded to Vaduz 1.32 → average 1.60) and 1.35 for Vaduz (attacking xG 1.52 vs opponent xG conceded to Xamax 1.19 → 1.35). Xamax averages 15.29 shots per match, with 6.57 on target and a conversion rate of 17%, has a seasonal goals-per-game average of 2.57 and Over 1.5 in 79% of matches, which strongly supports a scenario of at least 2 goals. Vaduz has an xG of 1.52 and averages 1.46 goals per match, with Over 1.5 in 69% of games, so both teams frequently exceed 1.5 goals in fixtures involving these sides. The combined expectation of 2.95 and the distribution for Over 2.5 (Xamax 79% vs Vaduz 23%) justify my probabilities of 92% for Over 1.5, 66% for Over 2.5 and only 31% for Over 3.5. The strongest play is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: over) due to the combination of 1.60 home xG, 1.35 away xG and the home side’s high conversion rate (17%), which gives a high likelihood of at least 2 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonally Neuchâtel Xamax is clearly stronger: they average 2.57 goals per match versus Vaduz’s 1.46 and have an xG of 1.87 against 1.52, indicating the hosts’ offensive superiority. The hosts led at the break in 8 matches (57%) and score on average 1.29 goals by half-time, while the visitors average only 0.38 goals by half-time and led in 2 matches (15%), so the scenario of the hosts leading at the break is the strongest. Additionally, Xamax averages 6.57 shots on target and 15.29 total shots per game versus 4.85 and 12.31 for the visitors, with a conversion rate of 17% vs 12%, which increases the chances of holding the lead. However, the last 5 fixtures show a drop in the hosts’ form (only 20% wins in the last 5), while Vaduz have 60% wins in that period, so I downgrade confidence and allow for more half-time draws than the seasonal average. Taking into account a 57% chance that Xamax lead at the break and the seasonal home win rate of 93%, the most likely scenario is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and home winning full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vaduz is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 2 pts / match - Vaduz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vaduz is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 2.04 goals / match - Vaduz
Vaduz is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.04 goals / match - Vaduz
Neuchâtel Xamax scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Vaduz keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
Vaduz scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Neuchâtel Xamax keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neuchâtel Xamax
Over / Under - Vaduz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaduz is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Neuchâtel Xamax · 1.52 pts / match - Vaduz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neuchâtel Xamax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vaduz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neuchâtel Xamax
Vaduz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Neuchâtel Xamax | Liga | Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Neuchâtel Xamax 0 - 1 - 2 Vaduz. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neuchâtel Xamax vs Vaduz?
The Challenge League match finished Neuchâtel Xamax 1:3 Vaduz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neuchâtel Xamax and Vaduz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neuchâtel Xamax won 0, Vaduz won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neuchâtel Xamax vs Vaduz?
Neuchâtel Xamax score 1.33 goals per game on average and Vaduz 2.04. The Challenge League average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Neuchâtel Xamax's matches and 52% of Vaduz's.
What form are Neuchâtel Xamax and Vaduz in?
Over the last 5 games Neuchâtel Xamax have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vaduz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neuchâtel Xamax vs Vaduz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.