New England Revolution vs Charlotte: match statistics
New England Revolution vs Charlotte: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New England Revolution played Charlotte in MLS (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
New England Revolution: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Charlotte: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
New England Revolution scores 1.89 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Charlotte scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New England Revolution 67%, Charlotte 80%. Over 2.5: New England Revolution 67%, Charlotte 80%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.18. New England Revolution: 9.6 shots per match, Charlotte: 11.0.
Match halves
New England Revolution: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.22. Charlotte: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
New England Revolution: 76-90+ (6 goals). Charlotte: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New England Revolution holds a clear home advantage: they have won 100% of home matches, average 3.0 goals scored and concede only 0.5 goals per game, with a home goal difference of +10. The hosts create more and higher-quality chances — on average 11.5 shots and 5.75 on target per home match with a high conversion rate of 26%, while Charlotte on the road averages 8.4 shots, 3.2 on target and only a 14% conversion, scoring 1.2 goals per away game. Defensively New England is superior: Charlotte concedes 2.6 goals on average away, has 0% clean sheets on the road and a 60% loss rate, whereas New England records 50% clean sheets at home. xG comparison further highlights the home side’s edge — New England generates 1.42 xG at home versus Charlotte’s 1.06 xG away, while the visitors allow 1.98 xG on the road, indicating weaker defensive quality for Charlotte. Based on this, I back the home win; despite Charlotte scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches overall, their away metrics are significantly worse.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 80%, which is 23 percentage points above the league average of 57%, so the baseline signal strongly favors BTTS - Yes. In the last 5 matches New England recorded BTTS in 100% and Charlotte in 60%; additionally Charlotte has 0% clean sheets this season versus 20% for New England, which increases the likelihood of goals for both sides. Offensively and defensively New England average 2.4 goals scored and concede 1.0, while Charlotte score 1.2 and concede 2.6; the home side attempt 6.8 shots on target with an 18% conversion versus 3.2 and 14% for Charlotte, which favors New England goals. xG confirms this: New England has xG for 1.60 versus Charlotte 1.06, and Charlotte has xG against 1.98 versus New England 1.31, meaning Charlotte gives up a lot of high-quality chances to opponents, which together with high over 2.5 rates (80% for both teams) boosts the probability of BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and average-goals analysis points to a match with a high number of scoring opportunities: New England has xG_for_home 1.60 and Charlotte xG_against_avg_away 1.98, yielding an xG‑based approx. 1.79 for the home side ((1.60+1.98)/2), while Charlotte has (1.06+1.31)/2 = 1.19 xG. Raw averages confirm the hosts' offensive profile: New England scores 2.40 at home and Charlotte concedes 2.60 away (combined 2.50), whereas Charlotte scores 1.20 away and New England concedes 1.00 at home (combined 1.10). Weighting xG 60% (more predictive) and raw averages 40% produces expected goals of 2.07 for New England and 1.15 for Charlotte, total 3.22. A Poisson model on total 3.22 gives probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈83%, Over 2.5 ≈62% and Over 3.5 ≈40%, which aligns with season indicators: New England Over 2.5 at home 80% and Charlotte Over 2.5 away 80% and BTTS 80% for both teams. The strongest signal from the data is therefore Over 1.5 (side 'over', line 1.5) due to the highest probability 83% and consistency across xG, raw averages (2.4/2.6) and high BTTS rate.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New England Revolution are clear favorites: they average 2.4 goals per match versus Charlotte’s 1.2, have xG of 1.60 compared to 1.06 and register 6.8 shots on target versus the visitors’ 3.2. At Half-Time, the home side lead in 40% of matches and are level in 40%, while the visitors practically never lead (0% in the data) and concede an average of 1.2 goals by the break versus 0.4 conceded by New England. Over Full-Time, New England win 60% of matches, draw 20% and lose 20%, and additionally have a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs 14%), which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. On this basis the strongest scenario is a home lead at the break and a home win at Full-Time (1/1, estimate ~30%), with alternatives such as draw at Half-Time and home win at Full-Time (X/1 ~20%) and draw/draw (X/X ~12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New England Revolution | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England Revolution is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.2 pts / match - Charlotte
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New England Revolution is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - New England Revolution · 1.8 goals / match - Charlotte
New England Revolution is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - New England Revolution · 1.8 goals / match - Charlotte
New England Revolution scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Charlotte keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Charlotte scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New England Revolution
Over / Under - Charlotte
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New England Revolution is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.1 pts / match - Charlotte
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New England Revolution - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Charlotte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New England Revolution
Charlotte
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New England Revolution | Liga | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.22 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
The MLS match finished New England Revolution 1:0 Charlotte. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
New England Revolution score 1.89 goals per game on average and Charlotte 1.80. The MLS average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of New England Revolution's matches and 80% of Charlotte's.
What form are New England Revolution and Charlotte in?
Over the last 5 games New England Revolution have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Charlotte 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New England Revolution vs Charlotte: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.