New England Revolution vs New York City: match statistics

New England Revolution have posted significantly better results at home, winning 73% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.91 goals and conceding just 0.91 per game. New York City score only 1.00 goal per away match, while 38% of those fixtures have ended in defeat; the team has also kept a clean sheet in just 13% of its appearances. The hosts register more shots on target per game (4.36 compared with 3.63) and are considerably more clinical, converting 18% of their attempts into goals versus 11% for the visitors. Neither team’s recent form is particularly convincing, with New England collecting 5 points from five matches and New York City 4, but home advantage and a positive goal difference of +11 favour the hosts. Although New England’s home xG against stands at 1.51, almost identical to the 1.50 conceded by NYC away from home, the hosts’ superior finishing should ultimately secure the win.

New England Revolution have recorded BTTS in 73% of their matches, while New York City have done so in 63%, both exceeding the league average of 62% and strongly supporting a Goal/Goal scenario. The hosts score an average of 2.27 goals per match, while their opponents concede 1.13 on average, and New York City should be able to exploit a Revolution defense that allows 1.64 goals per game. In their last five appearances, both teams averaged 1.4 goals scored, but conceded 1.4 and 1.6 goals respectively, with BTTS occurring in 60% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ games. The creative potential also favors a goals-based scenario: Revolution’s xG stands at 1.55 and New York City’s at 1.12, while the xG conceded by both defenses is 1.36 and 1.50 respectively. Clean sheets are rare, with rates of just 18% for the hosts and 13% for the visitors, making it more likely that both teams will find the net.

New England Revolution average 2.27 goals per match, while New York City concede 1.13, giving the home side a solid foundation to score at least once. The hosts create an average of 1.55 xG and register 5.73 shots on target, while the visitors’ defence allows an average of 1.50 xG. New York City have lower attacking potential, averaging 1.00 goal and 1.12 xG, but Revolution concede 1.64 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 18% of games. In their last five appearances, both teams scored 7 goals, while at least three goals were scored in 60% of each team’s matches. However, the strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: the hosts have cleared this line in 100% of their matches this season, compared with 75% for the visitors, with a projected total of 2.79 goals.

New England Revolution have a clear advantage in the first halves: they were leading at the break in 55% of matches, scoring an average of 1.45 goals, while New York City were trailing at half-time in 50% of games and scored just 0.50 goals. The hosts also create more chances over the course of the match, recording an xG of 1.55 compared with the visitors’ 1.12, as well as 5.73 shots on target per game versus 3.63 for New York City. The visitors’ attack is limited, with the team averaging 1.00 goal per match and failing to score in 50% of first halves. Recent form calls for some caution, but the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, while New England won the second half in 40% of that period. The most likely scenario therefore remains a New England lead at the break followed by the hosts maintaining their advantage until full-time.