New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union: match statistics
New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New England Revolution played Philadelphia Union in MLS (United States). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
New England Revolution: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Philadelphia Union: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
New England Revolution scores 1.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Philadelphia Union scores 0.82 and concedes 1.55. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New England Revolution 60%, Philadelphia Union 55%. Over 2.5: New England Revolution 60%, Philadelphia Union 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Philadelphia Union has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.21. New England Revolution: 10.0 shots per match, Philadelphia Union: 14.0.
Match halves
New England Revolution: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.20. Philadelphia Union: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
New England Revolution: 76-90+ (7 goals). Philadelphia Union: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New England Revolution are clear favourites: at home they have a 100% win rate, score an average of 2.6 goals per game and concede only 0.4, with a home goal difference of +11. Philadelphia Union away record is 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses, they score 1.17 goals on average, concede 2.0 goals and have recorded zero clean sheets (0% clean sheets). The hosts average 5.4 shots on target per game with a conversion rate of 22%, while Union have 3.67 shots on target and only 9% conversion, which translates to 2.6 vs 1.17 average goals per game. Although the visitors’ average xG is 1.48 versus the hosts’ 1.44, the visitors do not convert their chances (33% of matches without scoring) and average 1.2 points in the last 5 matches, while Revolution average 2.0 points in their last five (forms 1-3-1 vs 3-1-1). Considering the 100% home wins, +11 home goal difference and the visitors’ poor finishing and defense on the road (9% conversion and 2.0 conceded per game), I forecast a New England win and assess their chances at 75%, a draw 15% and a Philadelphia win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I indicate BTTS - Yes as more likely (70% vs 30%) because both teams’ offensive and defensive profiles favor both teams scoring. Philadelphia has a seasonal BTTS of 67% and concedes on average 2.0 goals away, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. New England’s seasonal home goals average is 0.4, but their xG_for is 1.69 and they have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 avg), indicating recent improvement in finishing. Additionally, both teams generate a similar number of shots and shots on target (14.8 vs 13.33 shots and 3.8 vs 3.67 SoT), and the league average BTTS is 57%, which supports the both-teams-to-score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on opponents’ average xG and defensive profiles, I estimate 1.38 expected goals for New England (attack xG 1.69 vs opposition xG conceded to Philadelphia 1.06) and 1.27 for Philadelphia (attack xG 1.48 vs xG conceded to New England 1.07), totaling 2.65 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.65 gives ~74% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~28% for Over 3.5, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Additionally, Philadelphia has season Over15 at 83% and BTTS 67%, while New England has season Over15 40% and BTTS 40%, so Philadelphia’s style largely drives the likelihood of at least two goals. Although New England officially scores only 0.4 goals on average with a low conversion rate of 3%, their xG 1.69 and 14.8 shots per game suggest chance creation, and Philadelphia’s 1.17 average goals with a 9% conversion maintains offensive pressure. Considering the expected 2.65 goals, the league average 3.18 and the above percentages, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the best and most reliable option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). The home side were drawing at the break in 80% of cases in the data (drawingAtHT_home = 80.0), and first-half goals averages are low: 0.2 for New England and 0.17 for Philadelphia (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.2 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.17), which favors HT draws. In the second half the hosts are clearly stronger in recent form over the last five matches: 60% wins in the last 5 (last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 60.0) and an average of 1.4 goals scored after the break in those five (last5_scored_2hg_avg_overall_home = 1.4) versus 0.8 for the visitors (last5_scored_2hg_avg_overall_away = 0.8). Additionally, the away team concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match (seasonConcededAVG_away = 2.0) and has only a 20% win rate in the last five (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 20.0), which increases the likelihood of a home-side advantage after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New England Revolution | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England Revolution is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.2 pts / match - Philadelphia Union
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New England Revolution is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - New England Revolution · 0.82 goals / match - Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - New England Revolution · 1.55 goals / match - Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Philadelphia Union keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Philadelphia Union scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New England Revolution
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New England Revolution is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - New England Revolution · 0.64 pts / match - Philadelphia Union
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New England Revolution - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Philadelphia Union - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New England Revolution | Liga | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
The MLS match finished New England Revolution 2:1 Philadelphia Union. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
New England Revolution score 1.80 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union 0.82. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of New England Revolution's matches and 55% of Philadelphia Union's.
What form are New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union in?
Over the last 5 games New England Revolution have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Philadelphia Union 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.