New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery: match statistics
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New Mexico United played Charleston Battery in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Stadion Patriot. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
New Mexico United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Charleston Battery: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New Mexico United scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Charleston Battery scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New Mexico United 50%, Charleston Battery 38%. Over 2.5: New Mexico United 63%, Charleston Battery 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Charleston Battery has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.34. New Mexico United: 11.8 shots per match, Charleston Battery: 12.1.
Match halves
New Mexico United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Charleston Battery: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
New Mexico United: 61-75 (3 goals). Charleston Battery: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) due to a clear offensive edge at home: New Mexico United average 2.0 goals per home game and 5.5 shots on target per match, while Charleston average only 0.5 goals away and 2.75 shots on target. The efficiency gap is significant — home conversion is 14% versus 6% for the visitors, and the share of goalless matches is 25% for New Mexico compared to 75% for Charleston on the road. xG analysis shows hosts have home xG 1.59 with xG against 1.77 and in practice they convert that into 2.0 goals on average, whereas visitors have away xG 1.17 and actually score 0.5 goals, indicating major finishing inefficiency. Recent form is mixed: Charleston have a better overall last-5 record (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 11 goals scored and 2.0 points per game), but they concede 2.0 goals per away match and have a -6 goal differential on the road, while New Mexico in their last 5 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses with a 7-9 goal record and 1.4 points per game. Considering the higher number of shots on target (5.5 vs 2.75), superior conversion (14% vs 6%) and the high risk of visitor inefficiency away, I assign 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to a Charleston victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because New Mexico average 2.5 goals per home game with xG 2.04, while Charleston concede 2.0 goals on the road with xG against 1.52, which favors home goals. The hosts average 15.75 shots and 7.0 on target with a 16% conversion, versus the visitors’ 8.25 shots and 2.75 on target with a 6% conversion, so New Mexico will generate significant offensive pressure. Despite Charleston’s season scoring average of 0.5 goals and season BTTS for the away team of 0%, in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and have a recent xG_for of 1.66, increasing the chance that Charleston will score at least once. New Mexico keep a clean sheet in only 25% of matches, the hosts’ season BTTS is 75% (last 5 matches 60%), and the league average BTTS is 56%, so the stats indicate home games often finish with both teams scoring. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and tip 'yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: New Mexico has xG_for 2.04 versus Charleston’s 1.17, and xG_against of 0.97 (New Mexico) and 1.52 (Charleston), yielding a projected 1.78 goals for the home side and 1.07 for the visitors (total 2.85). New Mexico averages 15.75 shots and 7.0 on target per match with a 16% conversion, while Charleston averages 8.25 shots and 2.75 on target with a 6% conversion, reinforcing the home side’s offensive advantage. Seasonal metrics show 100% of New Mexico’s home games over 1.5 and 75% over 2.5, while the visitors have 75% and 50% respectively, so Over 1.5 is very likely and Over 2.5 has strong support. In the last 5 matches both teams had 80% of games over 2.5, and their matches averaged 3.2 (home) and 3.4 (away) goals; seasonal Over 3.5 rates are 50% (home) and 25% (away), making Over 3.5 less certain (~33%). Given the total expected goals of 2.85 and strong seasonal indicators (100% home over1.5, 75% away), I recommend an Over bet at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New Mexico United possess a clear offensive advantage: seasonally they score an average of 2.5 goals per match versus Charleston’s 0.5, have an xG of 2.04 compared to 1.17 and register 7.0 shots on target against the visitors’ 2.75. At Half-Time the home side average 1.0 goal versus 0.25 for the away team and lead at the break in 50% of matches (the visitors lead only in 25%), which strongly supports HT=1. After the break New Mexico also dominate — they average 1.5 goals in the second half compared to Charleston’s 0.25 (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.5 vs 0.25), so maintaining the lead is realistic. Additionally, the home side’s season points per game are 2.5 versus the visitors’ 0.75, and the home win percentage is 75% against the away side’s 25%, therefore the strongest scenario is the home side leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | Charleston Battery | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charleston Battery is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.5 goals / match - Charleston Battery
New Mexico United scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Charleston Battery keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Charleston Battery scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New Mexico United
Over / Under - Charleston Battery
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charleston Battery is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.5 pts / match - Charleston Battery
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Charleston Battery - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New Mexico United
Charleston Battery
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | Charleston Battery | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): New Mexico United 0 - 0 - 2 Charleston Battery. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 1:0 Charleston Battery. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Charleston Battery?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches New Mexico United won 0, Charleston Battery won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United score 1.25 goals per game on average and Charleston Battery 1.50. The USL Championship average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of New Mexico United's matches and 38% of Charleston Battery's.
What form are New Mexico United and Charleston Battery in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Charleston Battery 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.