New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New Mexico United played El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 7 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
New Mexico United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
New Mexico United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 2.43 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New Mexico United 40%, El Paso Locomotive 71%. Over 2.5: New Mexico United 60%, El Paso Locomotive 100%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.22. New Mexico United: 11.0 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 12.9.
Match halves
New Mexico United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
New Mexico United: 61-75 (2 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso Locomotive appear to be the favorites: in away metrics they rank 5th versus New Mexico’s 21st and have an away goal difference of +8 compared to +1 for the hosts. The biggest edge for the visitors is defensively — New Mexico concedes on average 2.0 goals per home match, while El Paso concedes just 0.33 on the road and records 67% clean sheets, despite an average xG against of 1.55. Offensively both teams average 3.0 goals (New Mexico 3.0 at home; El Paso 3.0 away), but the hosts produce more shots (17 per match, 6 on target, xG 1.73) whereas the visitors are more efficient with 10.67 shots and 5 on target (conversion 28% vs 18%). In the last five matches New Mexico have won 3 of 5 and average 1.8 points per game, while El Paso have won 2 of 5 and average 1.2 PPG, although the visitors have an away winning run marked as 'www'. Considering El Paso’s defensive solidity and high conversion rate, I tip the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Form analysis indicates both teams have real potential to score and concede: in the last 5 matches New Mexico averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while El Paso averaged 2.0 scored and 2.4 conceded. Creation metrics further confirm an offensive profile — El Paso has recently 1.66 xG per match versus 1.15 xG for New Mexico, and season xG stands at 1.7 for New Mexico and 1.33 for El Paso; both teams also register a high volume of shots (avg 14.5 vs 10.67) with 6.0 and 5.0 shots on target respectively. A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is that both teams have Over2.5 in 100% of season matches and New Mexico has no clean sheets this season (CS 0%), while El Paso had 67% clean sheets seasonally but recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. Seasonal indicators diverge (season BTTS: 100% New Mexico vs 33% El Paso), however the high number of goals conceded in the last five matches (10 and 12 goals, i.e. 2.0 and 2.4 per game) along with average xG and shot conversion (conversion 14% vs 28%) weigh more in favor of both teams scoring. Therefore I forecast BTTS 'Yes' at 70% versus 30% for 'No', because recent goal trends, high Over2.5 (100%) and sustained xG creation point to a both-teams-to-score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model estimates 1.63 xG for New Mexico and 1.28 xG for El Paso, totaling 2.91 expected goals. Season figures show New Mexico scores 2.0 and concedes 2.75 per match, while El Paso scores 3.0 and concedes only 0.33, with both teams having 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season. In the last 5 matches New Mexico had Over 2.5 in 80% of games and El Paso in 100%, and El Paso demonstrates a high shot conversion rate of 28% on xG 1.33, which translated into 17 goals scored in the season versus 5 for the home side. Although El Paso has 67% clean sheets this season, the home team has 100% of home matches with both teams scoring, so the most likely and strongest pick is Over 2.5 (expected 2.91).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso led at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and has won all of its matches this season (100% wins), which strongly supports the visitors leading after 45 minutes. In the first half El Paso averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 0.0, while New Mexico has 1.0 scored and 1.25 conceded at half-time; the hosts led at the break in only 1 of 4 games (25%). Over the full match the visitors concede just 0.33 goals per game this season and have 67% clean sheets, and El Paso’s shot conversion is 28% versus 14% for the hosts, suggesting the visitors are favored to win HT/FT. The counterargument is recent form: New Mexico have won 3 of their last 5 (60%) and El Paso 2 of 5 (40%), plus the hosts’ higher xG of 1.7 versus the visitors’ 1.33, which forces a more moderate probability distribution. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 scenario (48%), with X/2 (14%) and 1/1 or 1/X as less likely alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.8 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - New Mexico United · 2.43 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.71 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New Mexico United
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.86 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.74 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): New Mexico United 3 - 0 - 1 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 2:2 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches New Mexico United won 3, El Paso Locomotive won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United score 1.00 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 2.43. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 40% of New Mexico United's matches and 71% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are New Mexico United and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.