New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New Mexico United played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Patriot. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
New Mexico United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New Mexico United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.35 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New Mexico United 54%, Phoenix Rising 62%. Over 2.5: New Mexico United 54%, Phoenix Rising 54%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. New Mexico United: 11.8 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.2.
Match halves
New Mexico United: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.92. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
New Mexico United: 61-75 (11 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New Mexico United have a clear home advantage: they have won 54% of their home matches, while Phoenix Rising have won just 15% of their away games. The hosts average 1.62 goals per home match from 1.55 xG, while the visitors score 0.92 goals away from home from 1.10 xG, pointing to greater efficiency from New Mexico. The difference in chance creation is also reflected in shots on target: 4.69 per match for the hosts compared with 2.38 for the visitors. Recent form calls for caution, however, as New Mexico have won only 1 of their last 5 matches and conceded 10 goals in that run, while Phoenix recorded 2 wins over the same period. Even so, Phoenix concede an average of 1.54 goals away from home and have failed to score in 31% of those matches, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches involving the two teams, BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of games, a stronger signal than their season averages of 69% for New Mexico and 54% for Phoenix. New Mexico score an average of 1.77 goals at home with an xG of 1.75, while Phoenix concede 1.54 goals per away game, making a New Mexico goal likely. Phoenix score only 0.92 goals per away game and have failed to score in 31% of matches, which limits confidence in the pick. Even so, New Mexico concede an average of 1.38 goals at home and have conceded 2.0 goals per game in their last 5 matches, giving the visitors a genuine chance to find the net. Therefore, I consider both teams to score the more likely scenario, although Phoenix’s away scoring record remains a significant risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 92% of New Mexico United matches and 85% of Phoenix Rising matches. The hosts average 1.77 goals and post an xG of 1.75, while the visitors concede an average of 1.54 goals, which bodes well for New Mexico to score. Phoenix average only 0.92 goals, but the hosts concede 1.38, and both teams scored in 80% of their last five matches. Recent scoring form also points to a higher total: New Mexico matches averaged 4 goals across their last five games, while Phoenix matches averaged 3. A projected total of 2.95 goals favors at least two goals, although Over 2.5 is less certain, having landed in 62% of the hosts’ matches and 46% of the visitors’ matches over the full season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New Mexico United hold a clear attacking edge, averaging 1.77 goals per match compared with Phoenix Rising’s 0.92, while their xG stands at 1.75 against the visitors’ 1.10. The hosts have led at the break in 38% of their matches, while the visitors have also been trailing at half-time in 38%; Phoenix concede an average of 0.92 goals before the break, while New Mexico score 0.77. The hosts’ stronger full-time results support the likelihood of them maintaining a lead: they have won 46% of their matches, compared with just 15% for the visitors. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 46% of New Mexico’s matches and 54% of Phoenix’s, but the hosts average 1.00 goals after the break, compared with 0.62 for the visitors. Therefore, New Mexico leading at half-time and going on to win is the most likely single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New Mexico United | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Phoenix Rising is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - New Mexico United · 1.4 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New Mexico United is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.35 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - New Mexico United · 1.46 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
New Mexico United scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New Mexico United
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New Mexico United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| New Mexico United | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.72 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): New Mexico United 3 - 0 - 3 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished New Mexico United 2:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches New Mexico United won 3, Phoenix Rising won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United score 1.50 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.35. The USL Championship average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of New Mexico United's matches and 62% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games New Mexico United have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.