United States - MLS Next ProBelson Stadium at St John's UniversityData current as of 23 July 2026

New York City II vs Carolina Core: match statistics

Reasoning:

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New York City II vs Carolina Core: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York City II play Carolina Core in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 18 June 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Belson Stadium at St John's University.

Current form

New York City II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Carolina Core: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York City II scores 1.59 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Carolina Core scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.23 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York City II 59%, Carolina Core 65%. Over 2.5: New York City II 65%, Carolina Core 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Carolina Core has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.35. New York City II: 10.9 shots per match, Carolina Core: 12.2.

Match halves

New York City II: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82. Carolina Core: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

New York City II: 61-75 (7 goals). Carolina Core: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.43)
(3.89)
(2.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York City IICarolina Core
1.59Goals scored / match1.3
New York City IICarolina Core
1.53Goals conceded / match1.6
New York City IICarolina Core
53%Average possession46%
New York City IICarolina Core
4.12Shots on target / match4.55
New York City IICarolina Core

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.88Shots per match12.2
New York City IICarolina Core
4.12Shots on target4.55
New York City IICarolina Core
14.6%Shot conversion10.7%
New York City IICarolina Core
53%Possession46%
New York City IICarolina Core
1.35xG for1.46
New York City IICarolina Core
1.5xG against1.75
New York City IICarolina Core

Shooting quality

New York City II: Efficient finishingCarolina Core: Balanced
New York City IICarolina Core
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York City II is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - New York City II · 1.6 pts / match - Carolina Core

New York City II
WDWWL
Season result split
47% W18% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-6
1.59 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Carolina Core
DWLDW
Season result split
20% W35% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-9
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New York City II is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - New York City II · 1.3 goals / match - Carolina Core

New York City II is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - New York City II · 1.6 goals / match - Carolina Core

New York City II scoring profile: very strong

New York City II scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

Carolina Core scoring profile: very strong

Carolina Core scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

27Goals scored (season)26
New York City IICarolina Core
26Goals conceded (season)32
New York City IICarolina Core
3.12Average goals in match2.9
New York City IICarolina Core
11Goals scored (last 5)7
New York City IICarolina Core
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
New York City IICarolina Core

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal80%
New York City IICarolina Core
53%2 goals40%
New York City IICarolina Core
24%3 goals5%
New York City IICarolina Core
6%4 goals5%
New York City IICarolina Core

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal75%
New York City IICarolina Core
41%2 goals50%
New York City IICarolina Core
24%3 goals30%
New York City IICarolina Core
6%4 goals5%
New York City IICarolina Core

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
New York City II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 17 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time20%
New York City IICarolina Core
0%BTTS in both halves5%
New York City IICarolina Core
29%Scored in both halves20%
New York City IICarolina Core

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
New York City IICarolina Core
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
New York City IICarolina Core
60%BTTS - last 540%
New York City IICarolina Core

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
New York City IICarolina Core
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
New York City IICarolina Core
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
New York City IICarolina Core

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
New York City IICarolina Core
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
New York City IICarolina Core
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
New York City IICarolina Core

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York City II is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - New York City II · 1.05 pts / match - Carolina Core

New York City II - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Carolina Core - half-time state
25% leading30% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.05
New York City IICarolina Core
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.5
New York City IICarolina Core
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.85
New York City IICarolina Core
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.35
New York City IICarolina Core
59%Clean sheet before half-time35%
New York City IICarolina Core
47%No goal before half-time60%
New York City IICarolina Core

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.45
New York City IICarolina Core
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
New York City IICarolina Core
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
New York City IICarolina Core
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.55
New York City IICarolina Core
59%Clean sheet after half-time55%
New York City IICarolina Core
47%No goal after half-time40%
New York City IICarolina Core

New York City II - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carolina Core - second-half results

35% W40% R25% P
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

New York City II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.41.2
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Carolina Core - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York City II
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
7
6
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Carolina Core
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
6
16-30
6
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York City II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Carolina Core

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

New York City IILigaCarolina Core
Average goals in match 3.123.23 2.90
Both teams scored 59%61% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%65% 60%
Clean sheets 24%22% 25%
Goal before half-time 76%75% 85%
Goal after half-time 65%84% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.23
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.82
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): New York City II 1 - 0 - 1 Carolina Core. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Carolina Core FC
5 : 0
New York City FC II
New York City FC II
2 : 1
Carolina Core FC

FAQ

When do New York City II and Carolina Core play?

New York City II face Carolina Core on 17 June 2026 in MLS Next Pro at Belson Stadium at St John's University. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between New York City II and Carolina Core?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches New York City II won 1, Carolina Core won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before New York City II vs Carolina Core?

New York City II score 1.59 goals per game on average and Carolina Core 1.30. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 59% of New York City II's matches and 65% of Carolina Core's.

What form are New York City II and Carolina Core in?

Over the last 5 games New York City II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Carolina Core 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City II vs Carolina Core?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York City II vs Carolina Core: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.