New York City II vs Columbus Crew II: match statistics
New York City II vs Columbus Crew II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City II played Columbus Crew II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Belson Stadium at St John's University. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
New York City II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Columbus Crew II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City II scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Columbus Crew II scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City II 60%, Columbus Crew II 75%. Over 2.5: New York City II 60%, Columbus Crew II 67%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Columbus Crew II has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.35. New York City II: 11.4 shots per match, Columbus Crew II: 12.4.
Match halves
New York City II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Columbus Crew II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
New York City II: 61-75 (4 goals). Columbus Crew II: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for New York City II, primarily due to a strong home record: the hosts have won 60% of their home matches, while Columbus Crew II have won only 17% of away matches. In their last 5 matches New York City II scored 10 goals and recorded 3 wins, averaging 1.8 points per game, whereas Columbus scored 8 goals and had just 1 win (1.0 point per game). Defensively the hosts also perform better: NYC II concedes 1.6 goals per home game versus 2.33 conceded by Columbus away, and the visitors have 0% clean sheets on the road. Quality-of-chances analysis shows similar attacking xG (1.19 for the hosts vs 1.23 for the visitors), but significantly higher xG against Columbus (1.96 vs 1.39), suggesting the visitors more frequently allow clear chances. With comparable shot efficiency (conversion around 14%), superior goal output in the last 5 matches and a better home record, I back New York City II to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are high: 67% for New York City II and 83% for Columbus Crew II, versus a league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 4 of 5 home games (80%) and in all 5 away games (100%), and Columbus II has 0% clean sheets this season, significantly increasing the likelihood of conceding. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, the visitors score 1.33 and concede 2.33, and in the last 5 matches these figures are 2.0 vs 1.6 scored and 1.6 vs 2.0 conceded respectively, indicating both teams are capable of scoring. Chance-quality data also supports Both Teams To Score: hosts xG 1.76 vs visitors xG against 1.96, and visitors xG 1.23 vs hosts xG against 1.56, while shots on target 5.67 vs 4.17 and total shots 15.17 vs 9.67 show chance creation on both sides. Given these numbers and the low clean sheet percentages (33% and 0%), I recommend BTTS - Yes as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model indicates approximately 3.26 expected goals: New York City II ~1.86 (offensive xG 1.76 and xG conceded by Columbus 1.96 → (1.76+1.96)/2=1.86) and Columbus Crew II ~1.40 ((1.23+1.56)/2=1.40). The league averages 3.22 goals per match, and season Over2.5 rates are 67% for both teams, while in the last 5 matches both teams have Over2.5 at 80%. New York City II generates significantly more chances (15.17 shots and 5.67 on target) than Columbus (9.67 and 4.17) with conversion rates of 13% vs 14%, supporting a higher expected goals tally for the home side (~1.86). Both teams frequently exchange goals: BTTS rates are 67% for NYC II and 83% for Columbus, and Columbus has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, boosting the probability of goals from both sides. In light of the 3.26 expected goals, season Over2.5 67%/67% and recent 80%/80%, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (pick: over at the 2.5 line, estimated probability ~78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts are the match favorites: across the season they average 2.0 goals per game versus the guests’ 1.33, win 67% of matches compared to Columbus’s 17%, and their xG is 1.76 versus the opponents’ 1.23. Nevertheless, the visitors show a clear tendency to score before the break — they have 16 goals at half-time and average 1.0 goal by half-time, while the hosts have 5 half-time goals and average 0.5. After the break the advantage shifts toward NYC II: the hosts score an average of 1.5 goals in the second half versus 0.33 for the visitors and register 15.17 shots per match versus 9.67 for the opponent, which favors a turnaround. In the last five matches the hosts led at the break in 60% of cases, while the visitors did not lead at the break in this period (0%), so the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a hosts’ victory after 90 minutes (HT/FT: X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City II | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City II is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - New York City II · 1 pts / match - Columbus Crew II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Columbus Crew II is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - New York City II · 1.67 goals / match - Columbus Crew II
New York City II scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Columbus Crew II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Columbus Crew II scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City II
Over / Under - Columbus Crew II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Columbus Crew II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City II
Columbus Crew II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York City II | Liga | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): New York City II 2 - 2 - 0 Columbus Crew II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City II vs Columbus Crew II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York City II 2:3 Columbus Crew II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York City II and Columbus Crew II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches New York City II won 2, Columbus Crew II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City II vs Columbus Crew II?
New York City II score 1.30 goals per game on average and Columbus Crew II 1.67. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 60% of New York City II's matches and 75% of Columbus Crew II's.
What form are New York City II and Columbus Crew II in?
Over the last 5 games New York City II have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Columbus Crew II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City II vs Columbus Crew II?
The statistical background for New York City II vs Columbus Crew II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.