United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 13 September 2026

New York City II vs Connecticut United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

New York City II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York City II play Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 13 September 2026.

Current form

New York City II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Connecticut United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York City II scores 1.85 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 2.00 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York City II 62%, Connecticut United 81%. Over 2.5: New York City II 69%, Connecticut United 85%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.53. New York City II: 12.2 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.0.

Match halves

New York City II: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.96. Connecticut United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

New York City II: 0-15 (11 goals). Connecticut United: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.35 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York City IIConnecticut United
1.85Goals scored / match2
New York City IIConnecticut United
1.65Goals conceded / match1.88
New York City IIConnecticut United
New York City IIConnecticut United
53%Average possession43%
New York City IIConnecticut United
4.73Shots on target / match5.77
New York City IIConnecticut United
New York City IIConnecticut United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.15Shots per match12.96
New York City IIConnecticut United
4.73Shots on target5.77
New York City IIConnecticut United
15.2%Shot conversion15.4%
New York City IIConnecticut United
53%Possession43%
New York City IIConnecticut United
1.53xG for1.63
New York City IIConnecticut United
1.51xG against1.36
New York City IIConnecticut United

Shooting quality

New York City II: Efficient finishingConnecticut United: Counter-attacking
New York City IIConnecticut United
Accuracy (shots on target)39%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York City II
WWLLW
Season result split
46% W15% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-10
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Connecticut United
WWWLL
Season result split
50% W8% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-11
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-5
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connecticut United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.85 goals / match - New York City II · 2 goals / match - Connecticut United

New York City II is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.65 goals / match - New York City II · 1.88 goals / match - Connecticut United

New York City II scoring profile: very strong

New York City II scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

48Goals scored (season)52
New York City IIConnecticut United
43Goals conceded (season)49
New York City IIConnecticut United
3.5Average goals in match3.88
New York City IIConnecticut United
13Goals scored (last 5)12
New York City IIConnecticut United
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
New York City IIConnecticut United

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal88%
New York City IIConnecticut United
62%2 goals62%
New York City IIConnecticut United
27%3 goals35%
New York City IIConnecticut United
12%4 goals15%
New York City IIConnecticut United

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal88%
New York City IIConnecticut United
46%2 goals65%
New York City IIConnecticut United
27%3 goals19%
New York City IIConnecticut United
12%4 goals15%
New York City IIConnecticut United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
New York City II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 26 matches
81%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 26 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time38%
New York City IIConnecticut United
12%BTTS in both halves12%
New York City IIConnecticut United
42%Scored in both halves50%
New York City IIConnecticut United

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS81%
New York City IIConnecticut United
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
New York City IIConnecticut United
60%BTTS - last 580%
New York City IIConnecticut United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
New York City IIConnecticut United
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
New York City IIConnecticut United
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
New York City IIConnecticut United

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
New York City IIConnecticut United
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
New York City IIConnecticut United
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
New York City IIConnecticut United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York City II - half-time state
35% leading38% draw27% trailing
Connecticut United - half-time state
35% leading35% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.38
New York City IIConnecticut United
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.96
New York City IIConnecticut United
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
New York City IIConnecticut United
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.69
New York City IIConnecticut United
50%Clean sheet before half-time46%
New York City IIConnecticut United
42%No goal before half-time31%
New York City IIConnecticut United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.31
New York City IIConnecticut United
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
New York City IIConnecticut United
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
New York City IIConnecticut United
1.85Average goals (2nd half)1.96
New York City IIConnecticut United
58%Clean sheet after half-time35%
New York City IIConnecticut United
38%No goal after half-time35%
New York City IIConnecticut United

New York City II - second-half results

35% W46% D19% L
37
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connecticut United - second-half results

35% W27% D38% L
36
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New York City II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match2.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Connecticut United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York City II
ScoredConceded
11
5
0-15
7
9
16-30
5
6
31-45
4
5
46-60
11
8
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
8
9
16-30
11
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
7
10
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York City II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

New York City IILigaConnecticut United
Average goals in match 3.503.35 3.88
Both teams scored 62%63% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%67% 85%
Clean sheets 23%21% 12%
Goal before half-time 81%76% 85%
Goal after half-time 69%85% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.35
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): New York City II 2 - 0 - 0 Connecticut United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Connecticut United
1 : 4
New York City II
New York City II
2 : 1
Connecticut United

FAQ

When do New York City II and Connecticut United play?

New York City II face Connecticut United on 13 September 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between New York City II and Connecticut United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches New York City II won 2, Connecticut United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before New York City II vs Connecticut United?

New York City II score 1.85 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 2.00. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 62% of New York City II's matches and 81% of Connecticut United's.

What form are New York City II and Connecticut United in?

Over the last 5 games New York City II have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Connecticut United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City II vs Connecticut United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.